Estimation, bias and mean squared error

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves estimating the parameter θ based on independent random variables X1, X2, ..., Xn, each uniformly distributed over the interval [0, θ]. The proposed estimator for θ is the maximum of the observed values, m = max(x1, ..., xn). Participants are tasked with calculating the distribution of the random variable M = max(X1, X2, ..., Xn), as well as its bias and mean squared error.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Mathematical reasoning, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • One participant attempts to derive the distribution of M by using the cumulative distribution function and considers differentiating with respect to θ. Another participant questions whether differentiation should be with respect to θ or m, indicating some uncertainty in the approach.

Discussion Status

The discussion is ongoing, with participants exploring the correct method to derive the density function from the cumulative distribution function. Some guidance has been provided regarding the standard formula for obtaining the density function, but no consensus has been reached on the specific differentiation approach.

Contextual Notes

Participants are navigating the constraints of the problem, including the need to correctly apply statistical concepts related to distributions and estimators. There is a focus on understanding the relationship between cumulative and density functions in the context of this estimation problem.

stukbv
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Homework Statement



(x1,x2,...xn) is modeled as observed values of independent random variables X1,X2,...Xn each with the distribution 1/θ for x in [0,θ] and 0 otherwise.
A proposed estimate of θ is m = max(x1,...xn) Calculate the distribution of the random variable M=max(X1,X2,...Xn) and considering M as an estimator for θ, its bias and mean squared error.

2. The attempt at a solution
P(max(X1,...Xn)≤m) = P(X1≤m)P(X2≤m)...P(Xn≤m)
via independent of the Xi's.

Then since they have the same distribution this is just
(m/θ)n

So to get the distribution do I just differentiate with respect to θ
Which would give me

n(m/θ)n-1 * (-m/(θ2))

Is this the right way to think about it ?

Thank you
 
Last edited:
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stukbv said:

Homework Statement



(x1,x2,...xn) is modeled as observed values of independent random variables X1,X2,...Xn each with the distribution 1/θ for x in [0,θ] and 0 otherwise.
A proposed estimate of θ is m = max(x1,...xn) Calculate the distribution of the random variable M=max(X1,X2,...Xn) and considering M as an estimator for θ, its bias and mean squared error.

2. The attempt at a solution
P(max(X1,...Xn)≤m) = P(X1≤m)P(X2≤m)...P(Xn≤m)
via independent of the Xi's.

Then since they have the same distribution this is just
(m/θ)n

So to get the distribution do I just differentiate with respect to θ
Which would give me

n(m/θ)n-1 * (-m/(θ2))

Is this the right way to think about it ?

Thank you

You have the (cumulative) distribution function F(m) = Pr{M <= m}. How do you get the density function of M from that? There is a standard formula; you just need to use it.

RGV
 
I know that you differentiate to get the density function but I can't work out whether its with respect to theta (which is what I did above) or with respect to m?
 
##f(m) = {d \over dm} F(m)##.
 
The standard formula would tell you exactly what to do---no confusion!

RGV
 
I see thamk you!
 

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