Exponential function with 3 parameters?

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around modeling population growth using an exponential function with three parameters, as suggested by a researcher. The original poster presents a specific model and attempts to derive parameters from a given value table of population data over several decades.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster attempts to derive a model from a value table but expresses uncertainty about how to estimate the parameters K, L, and M. Some participants question the appropriateness of the exponential model versus the logistic model suggested by the researcher. Others inquire about the use of technology, specifically the TI-83/84, to perform logistic regression and interpret the parameters.

Discussion Status

The discussion is ongoing, with participants providing guidance on using technology for parameter estimation and clarifying the differences between exponential and logistic models. There is an exploration of the meaning of the parameters, but no consensus has been reached on the best approach or model.

Contextual Notes

The original poster has provided a table of population data but has not fully detailed the assignment requirements. There is a focus on understanding how to fit a model to the data and the implications of the parameters involved.

zeion
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Exponential function with 3 parameters??

Homework Statement



A researcher suggests that the population, P, at time t can be modeled by

P(t) = K / (1 + Le^(-Mt)), where K, L and M are parameters.

Use technology to estimate and interpret K, L,and M. Construct the researcher's model using your estimates.

Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



There is a value table given, but I'm not sure how to use it to find the parameters.
The first part asked to derive my own model, which I have done, it turned out to be

P(t) = 561(1.02)^x
 
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zeion said:
There is a value table given, but I'm not sure how to use it to find the parameters.
The first part asked to derive my own model, which I have done, it turned out to be

P(t) = 561(1.02)^x
This doesn't look right. For one, what you have is an exponential model, and what you wrote earlier:
zeion said:
A researcher suggests that the population, P, at time t can be modeled by

P(t) = K / (1 + Le^(-Mt)), where K, L and M are parameters.
... suggests that you need a logistic model. They are 2 different things.

Even though you state that you can use technology, I'd like to see the table of values. If you have a TI-83/84, you can perform a logistic regression easy enough to find K, L, and M. (On the TI-83/84, they will correspond to the values of a, b, and c, I think.)
 


Sorry,

I did not type out the whole assignment.

The table of population:

Year: 1950, 1955, 1960, 1965, 1970, 1975, 1980, 1985, 1990, 1995
Population in Millions: 554.6, 609.0, 657.5, 729.2, 830.7, 927.8, 998.9, 1070.0, 1155.3, 1220.5


The first part, in essence: What types of functions could model the behavior of the graph? Analytically develop one model function that fits the data points on your graph.

I made an exponential model by taking the average of the multiplier of P(t) (and constant Δt 5 years.) that fitted the data points.


How would I find the three parameters using a TI-83/84?
And what do each of them mean?

Thanks.
 


zeion said:
How would I find the three parameters using a TI-83/84?
And what do each of them mean?
You would hit (STAT) -> 1:Edit to input the data into L1 and L2.
Then hit (STAT) -> (CALC) -> B:Logistic -> (ENTER) -> (ENTER)
(You may have to hit the (ENTER) key more than twice.)

Look up "maximum sustainable population," "limit to growth," or "fixed capacity" to see what K is. I don't recall if there are any special names for the other parameters.
 


Okay thanks for your replies.
 

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