Find P(B) and P(A/B) by considering the given probability question

  • Thread starter Thread starter chwala
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Probability
Click For Summary

Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating probabilities P(B) and P(A/B) using a probability question that involves Venn diagrams and conditional probabilities. Participants are exploring different approaches to the problem, particularly focusing on the relationships between events A and B.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • One participant shares their attempt at finding the probabilities and seeks alternative methods. Others question the accuracy of the initial steps and the interpretation of the Venn diagram, suggesting a need for careful examination of the shaded regions. There is a discussion about the relationships between events A and B, particularly regarding their intersections and complements.

Discussion Status

Participants are actively engaging with each other's reasoning, with some providing critical feedback on the initial attempts. There is a recognition of potential mistakes in the interpretations of the Venn diagram, and some participants are re-evaluating their approaches based on the feedback received. The conversation reflects a mix of exploration and clarification without reaching a consensus.

Contextual Notes

Participants are working under the constraints of homework rules, which may limit the extent of guidance provided. There is an emphasis on ensuring that each step in the reasoning is carefully considered, particularly in relation to the visual representation of the problem.

chwala
Gold Member
Messages
2,828
Reaction score
425
Homework Statement
Find ##P(B)## and ##P(A/B)## by considering the given problem below(attached)
Relevant Equations
conditional probability
1618555975147.png

i managed to find the values...i am seeking alternative approach to the problem. See my attempt below.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
1618556112507.png
 
You need to be more careful about each step. The first equality of your attempt is wrong. The Venn Diagram only has B' shaded, so which part is A##\cap##B'? It would help if you would shade A in one direction and B' in another direction and clearly show what A##\cap##B' is. The equality from the Venn diagram looks wrong. There may be more mistakes. You should look carefully at each step more carefully before proceeding.
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: chwala
##A## intersection ##B^{'}## is the shaded region...it follows that ##B## is the unshaded...
 
Let me check on this after my lunch .
 
chwala said:
##A## intersection ##B^{'}## is the shaded region...it follows that ##B## is the unshaded...
No, it is not. Much of that shaded area is not in A. And that would not be how you decide what B is anyway. You are correct that B is all of the inside of the B circle, but that is always true no matter what the rest of the Venn diagram looks like.
 
Ok give me a moment, let me check again...
 
My approach was wrong, the correct way is as follows;
##P(B/A)= \frac {P(B). P(A/B)}{P(A)}##
##0.8= \frac {P(B). P(A/B)}{0.75}##
##0.6=P(B). P(A/B)##

Also,
##P(B/A^{'})= \frac {P(B). P(A^{'}/B)}{P(A^{'})}##
##0.6= \frac {P(B). P(A^{'}/B)}{0.25}##
##0.15=P(B). P(A^{'}/B)##

we know that,
##P(A/B)+P(A^{'}/B)=1##
##\frac {0.6}{P(B)}##+##\frac {0.15}{P(B)}##=##1##
on cross multiplication by ##P(B)##,
##0.6+0.15=P(B)##
##0.75=P(B)##...with this found the other part is easy...
Bingo from Africa!
 
Last edited:

Similar threads

  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
2K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
2K
Replies
10
Views
3K
Replies
5
Views
2K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
3K
  • · Replies 18 ·
Replies
18
Views
3K
Replies
5
Views
1K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
4K
  • · Replies 19 ·
Replies
19
Views
3K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
1K