Find the probability of a prize

In summary, the state of Oregon is designing a new lottery game with a $5 ticket cost and three prizes: $10, $100, and $1000. The probability of winning the $10 prize is 20% and the probability of winning the $100 prize is 1%. To earn an average profit of $10,000 each month, the probability for the $1000 prize should be set at 0.001.
  • #1
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Homework Statement


The state of Oregon wishes to design a new lottery game with the following rules:  1.Each ticket costs $5  2.There will be three prizes: $10, $100 and $1000  3.The probability of the $10 prize will be 20%.  4.The probability of the $100 prize will be 1%  5.Ten thousand tickets will be sold each month.

What should the probability for the $1000 prize be set at, if the state would like, on average, to earn $10,000 each month?

Homework Equations

The Attempt at a Solution



$10000 is the average profit of a month, total income of a month is $50000, total prize of a month is 10*0.2*10000+100*0.01*10000= $30000, this isn't include the 1000 prize

so: 10000=50000-30000-1000*x*10000, x=0.001

can someone check this right or not? Thanks
 
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  • #2
Yes, it is correct.
 

1. What is the definition of probability?

Probability is a measure of the likelihood that a specific event will occur. It is often represented as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty.

2. How do you calculate the probability of winning a prize?

The probability of winning a prize can be calculated by dividing the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. For example, if there are 5 prizes out of 100 total tickets, the probability of winning a prize would be 5/100 or 1/20.

3. What factors influence the probability of winning a prize?

The probability of winning a prize can be influenced by various factors, such as the number of participants, the number of prizes available, and the rules of the game. These factors can change the total number of possible outcomes and thus affect the probability of winning.

4. How can you increase your chances of winning a prize?

There is no guaranteed way to increase your chances of winning a prize, as probability is based on chance. However, you can increase your chances by participating in multiple events or games, understanding the rules and odds of winning, and making informed decisions.

5. Can the probability of winning a prize be greater than 1?

No, the probability of winning a prize cannot be greater than 1. This would indicate that an event is certain to occur, which goes against the definition of probability. The highest probability that can be achieved is 1, or 100%.

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