Find the probability of a prize

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating the probability of winning a $1000 prize in a new Oregon lottery game, where each ticket costs $5 and three prizes are offered: $10 (20% probability) and $100 (1% probability). To achieve an average monthly profit of $10,000 from total sales of $50,000 (10,000 tickets), the probability for the $1000 prize must be set at 0.1%. The calculations confirm that this probability allows the state to meet its profit goals after accounting for the total prize payouts.

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  • Understanding of probability theory
  • Basic knowledge of financial calculations
  • Familiarity with lottery game mechanics
  • Ability to perform algebraic equations
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This discussion is beneficial for mathematicians, game designers, financial analysts, and anyone involved in lottery game development or probability calculations.

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Homework Statement


The state of Oregon wishes to design a new lottery game with the following rules:  1.Each ticket costs $5  2.There will be three prizes: $10, $100 and $1000  3.The probability of the $10 prize will be 20%.  4.The probability of the $100 prize will be 1%  5.Ten thousand tickets will be sold each month.

What should the probability for the $1000 prize be set at, if the state would like, on average, to earn $10,000 each month?

Homework Equations

The Attempt at a Solution



$10000 is the average profit of a month, total income of a month is $50000, total prize of a month is 10*0.2*10000+100*0.01*10000= $30000, this isn't include the 1000 prize

so: 10000=50000-30000-1000*x*10000, x=0.001

can someone check this right or not? Thanks
 
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Yes, it is correct.
 

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