Generate Time Series with specific ACF and multiple LAG

Click For Summary
SUMMARY

This discussion focuses on generating time series with specific autocorrelation function (ACF) values and multiple LAGs using non-parametric methods. The researcher is generating time series for various sample sizes (N=128, N=256, N=512) and utilizing different ACF values (0.1, 0.3, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9) along with four distributions: Normal, Exponential, Cauchy, and Uniform. The primary challenge is to generate time series with LAG greater than 1 while controlling the ACF behavior as LAG increases. Proposed methods include autoregressive processes and specific formulas for generating stationary series.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of autocorrelation function (ACF) and its significance in time series analysis.
  • Familiarity with autoregressive processes and their mathematical formulation.
  • Knowledge of statistical distributions: Normal, Exponential, Cauchy, and Uniform.
  • Experience with generating random samples and calculating statistical properties from time series data.
NEXT STEPS
  • Research methods for generating time series with LAG greater than 1 using autoregressive models.
  • Explore techniques for controlling ACF decay rates in time series generation.
  • Investigate cyclic patterns in ACF values and their implementation in time series models.
  • Learn about stationary processes and methods to ensure stationarity in generated time series.
USEFUL FOR

Researchers, data scientists, and statisticians interested in time series analysis, particularly those focusing on non-parametric methods and autoregressive modeling techniques.

Xcode
Messages
1
Reaction score
0
Hello Everyone,

I will try to explain what am I doing here and I hope someone will understand.
ACF - autocorrelation function

I'm doing a research about non-parametric methods utility. How they fit and are useful in a different environment. I'm generating time series with different sizes of data (N=128, N=256, N=512 and so on, N - represents how many values are in time series.). For the results to be more accurate I generate 10 000 samples for each N=128, N=256... I'm using different ACF values (0,1 , 0,3 , 0,5 , 0,7 and 0,9) to generate those time series. And I also use 4 different distributions (Normal, Exponential, Cauchy and Uniform).

I've managed to generate time series with LAG=1 using autoregressive process X(t) = aX(t-1) + e(t), where a = ACF value, e(t) are successively chosen at random using random number distribution (normal,exp,uni or cauchy).

After having time series generated with specific ACF, I calculate autocorrelation from those generated time series. Having those two different values (ACF and autocorrelation from time series) I can calculate different residues and see where one or another method is more effective.

I couldn't figure out how to generate time series with LAG>1.

So, what I need to do now is to:

A) Generate time series with higher LAG than 1. And while the LAG is increasing, I need ACF value to go down slowly and reach 0 (lets say in 10-20 LAGS)

B) Generate time series with higher LAG than 1. And while the LAG is increasing, I need ACF value to go down FAST and reach 0 (lets say in 2-4 LAGS). ACF = 0 value should repeat itself until LAG=100 and then it should go up significantly

C) Same thing. Generate time series by increasing it's LAG, but the ACF value should be cyclic. It should repeat itself every 4 or 8 or 12 LAG.

I hope you understood what I was trying to say. Can you help me?
 
Physics news on Phys.org
For lag > 1, just try something like X(t) = aX(t-lag) + e(t)

Is this what you are looking for?
A) X(t) = 1/5.5* [X(t-1) + 0.9*X(t-2)+ 0.8*X(t-3)+ 0.7*X(t-4)+ 0.6*X(t-5) + ... ] + e(t)

(I divided by 5.5 = 1+.9+.8+.7+.6+.5+.4+.3+.2+.1. I think that will make it stationary. Not sure. Would have to think about that. You can always divide by more.)
 

Similar threads

  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
2K
  • · Replies 7 ·
Replies
7
Views
5K
  • · Replies 10 ·
Replies
10
Views
4K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
1K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
2K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
2K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
2K
  • · Replies 12 ·
Replies
12
Views
3K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
2K
  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
3K