Geometric distribution problem

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a problem involving a geometric distribution related to a game played by three participants—Tom, Dick, and Harry—who toss a coin in turns until one of them wins by tossing a Head. The main question is to determine the probability that Tom wins the game.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the application of the geometric distribution and the relevant formula for calculating probabilities in this context. There is uncertainty regarding the number of trials and how to express the probability of Tom winning.

Discussion Status

Some participants have provided guidance on the formula to use, suggesting a focus on the probability of the game finishing on specific tosses. There is an ongoing exploration of how to sum probabilities for different scenarios where Tom wins.

Contextual Notes

There is a noted lack of clarity regarding the number of trials involved in the game, which affects the ability to apply the geometric distribution formula effectively. Participants are encouraged to share their attempts and reasoning to facilitate further discussion.

danniim
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Can anyone solve this for me? I think it is geometric distribution.

Tom, Dick and Harry play .the following game. They toss a fair coin in
turns. First Tom tosses, then Harry, then Dick, then Tom again and so on
until one of them gets a Head and so becomes the winner. What is the
probability that Tom wins?
 
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Welcome to PF!

Hi danniim! Welcome to PF! :wink:

Show us what you've tried, and where you're stuck, and then we'll know how to help! :smile:
 
Hi tiny-tim,

Okay well my main problem is that I don't know what formula to use.

I thought you would use p(q)^x-1 where p is the probability of success(0.5) and q is the probability of failing (0.5), x is supposed to be the number of trials ie the number of times the coin is tossed but this is not given. This leaves me with the following:

0.5(0.5)^x-1 = ?... two unknowns.

So clearly I am not understanding something in the question.
 
danniim said:
I thought you would use p(q)^x-1 where p is the probability of success(0.5) and q is the probability of failing (0.5), x is supposed to be the number of trials ie the number of times the coin is tossed …

Hi danniim! :smile:

(use n, not x, for numbers, and try using the X2 tag just above the Reply box :wink:)

Yes, you use pqn-1 for the probability of the game finishing on the nth toss.

Now add up for all the n's that make Tom the winner. :wink:
 
Thanks! :)
 

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