MHB Help with Math Homework: Conditional Probability - 19/30

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Howard's math homework involves calculating the probability of selecting an afternoon course from either history or psychology departments. The correct probability for history is 3/10, and for psychology, it is 1/3. The total probability of selecting an afternoon course is found by adding these two probabilities, resulting in 19/30. The error in the initial calculation was due to incorrect addition of the fractions. The analysis of the problem was correct, but the final step needed adjustment.
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Hey! I need help with my Math homework :( The question is the following...

There are 5 history courses of interest to Howard, including 3 in the afternoon, and there are 6 psychology courses, including 4 in the afternoon. Howard picks a course by selecting a dept at random, then selecting a course at random. Find the pr that the course he selects is in the afternoon.

The answer is 19/30, but I get 13/30 by doing this:

For the history dept, the probability of an afternoon class is 1/2 x 3/5, or 3/10, and for the psych dept, the pr of an afternoon class is 1/2 x 4/6, or 1/3. I then add 1/3 and 3/10 and I get 13/30, but that is not the answer and I have no idea what I could be doing wrong...

Please help :(
 
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Hello, and welcome to MHB! (Wave)

I would let event A be that Howard selected an afternoon course from the history department, and event B be that Howard selected an afternoon course from the psychology department.

$$P(A)=\frac{1}{2}\cdot\frac{3}{5}=\frac{3}{10}$$

$$P(B)=\frac{1}{2}\cdot\frac{4}{6}=\frac{1}{3}$$

And so:

$$P(A\text{ OR }B)=P(A)+P(B)=\frac{3}{10}+\frac{1}{3}=\frac{3\cdot3+10\cdot1}{30}=\frac{19}{30}$$

You just made an error in adding the fractions...your analysis of the problem was good. :)
 
MarkFL said:
Hello, and welcome to MHB! (Wave)

I would let event A be that Howard selected an afternoon course from the history department, and event B be that Howard selected an afternoon course from the psychology department.

$$P(A)=\frac{1}{2}\cdot\frac{3}{5}=\frac{3}{10}$$

$$P(B)=\frac{1}{2}\cdot\frac{4}{6}=\frac{1}{3}$$

And so:

$$P(A\text{ OR }B)=P(A)+P(B)=\frac{3}{10}+\frac{1}{3}=\frac{3\cdot3+10\cdot1}{30}=\frac{19}{30}$$

You just made an error in adding the fractions...your analysis of the problem was good. :)
lol I see, thanks!
 
I have been insisting to my statistics students that for probabilities, the rule is the number of significant figures is the number of digits past the leading zeros or leading nines. For example to give 4 significant figures for a probability: 0.000001234 and 0.99999991234 are the correct number of decimal places. That way the complementary probability can also be given to the same significant figures ( 0.999998766 and 0.00000008766 respectively). More generally if you have a value that...

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