How is the 130479.79 Value Calculated in this Retirement Calculator?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the calculation of a specific value, 130479.79, in a retirement calculator. Participants explore the mathematical reasoning behind the withdrawals and interest calculations over a period of five years, focusing on the assumptions and formulas used in the example provided.

Discussion Character

  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant questions how the value 130479.79 is derived from the retirement calculator, noting they understand other components like "Interest" and "End Bal."
  • Another participant outlines a formulaic approach to calculate the remaining balance after annual withdrawals and interest accrual, suggesting a pattern emerges over the years.
  • A participant calculates the value of X using the formula 1.075^5(X) = 30000(5.808) and arrives at approximately 121368, questioning their calculation process.
  • There is a suggestion that the calculation might be affected by the order of operations in interest application and withdrawals.
  • One participant expresses uncertainty about how the value of 130480 was reached, seeking clarification on the calculations presented.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the calculation of 130479.79, with multiple interpretations and calculations presented. Some agree on the formulas used, while others express confusion or differing results.

Contextual Notes

There are unresolved issues regarding the precision of calculations and the assumptions made about interest application and withdrawal timing. The discussion reflects varying levels of understanding of the mathematical principles involved.

brian110872
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On this chart:
http://www.banksite.com/calc/retire?with=30000&lngt=5&lngt=5&pay2=0.0&intr=7.5&outt=HTML+Tables
how did they calculate 130479.79? I know how they got the "Interest" and "End Bal" just not the 130479.79. Anyone have any suggestions?
Here is the original form:
http://www.banksite.com/calc/retire

Thank You,
Brian
 
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In this example, the objective is to be able to withdraw $30,000 per year from savings. It assumes 7.5% interest (it's obviously very old!). The "end balance" is, of course,0 by definition.

Suppose you had X dollars in the bank, drawing 7.5% simple interest.
After 1 year, before you withdraw anything, you would have the original X plus interest, (0.075)(30000) or a total of (1+ 0.075)X= 1.075X. Now, you withdraw 30000. You have 1.075X- 30000 left.

For the second year, repeat that with initial amount 1.075X-30000. Before withdrawing anything, but including interest, you would have
1.075(1.075X- 30000)= (1.075)2X- (1.075)(30000). After withdrawing your 30000 you will have (1.075)2X- (1.075)(30000)- 30000 left.

For the third year, you are starting with that amount so, before withdrawal you would have 1.075((1.075)2X- 1.075(30000)- 30000)= 1.0753X- 1.0752300000- 1.075(30000). Now withdraw 30000 from that: 1.0753X- 1.0752300000- (1.075)30000- 30000= 1.0753X- 30000(1+ 1.075+ 1.0752.

Do you see the pattern? After n years you will have 1.075nX- (30000)(1+ 1.075+ ...+ 1.075n-1. In particular, after 5 years you would have 1.0755X- (30000)(1+ 1.075+ 1.0752+ 1.0753+ 1.0754. Since in this example you are apparently only expecting to die 5 years after retirement, after 5 years, the "final balance" is to be 0. It's not that hard to calculate that 1+ 1.075+ 1.0752+ 1.0753+ 1.0754= 5.808 approximately. Solve the equation 1.0755X= 30000(5.808). I get slightly less than 130480. Try deducting the 30000 before adding the interest. That would be the same as replacing X by X-30000.
 
Thanks for the reply HallsofIvy. For 1.075^5(X)= 30000(5.808), I'm getting X=121368. How am I miscalculating?
 
brian110872 said:
Thanks for the reply HallsofIvy. For 1.075^5(X)= 30000(5.808), I'm getting X=121368. How am I miscalculating?
You're not, you've solved for x almost perfectly, actually your missing a few decimal places there, can I assume you are using mathematica?
 
Zurtex said:
You're not, you've solved for x almost perfectly, actually your missing a few decimal places there, can I assume you are using mathematica?
What is mathematica?
 
HallsofIvy,
I'm not sure how you got 130480 from 1.0755X= 30000(5.808).

Thank You,
Brian
 

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