How Long Until a Cursed Civilization's Population Reaches Zero?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on a mathematical model describing the decline of a cursed civilization's population, governed by the equation ΔP = -√P, where Pn = Pn-1 - √Pn-1. Starting with an initial population of 676, participants explore how to calculate the time until the population reaches zero. While manual calculations suggest approximately 50 weeks, the conversation emphasizes the limitations of both discrete-time difference methods and continuous calculus approaches in accurately modeling integer populations. The correct interpretation of the differential equation dP/dt = -√P is crucial for understanding the population dynamics.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of discrete-time difference equations
  • Familiarity with differential equations, specifically separable differential equations
  • Basic calculus concepts, including integration and differentiation
  • Knowledge of integer versus real number populations in mathematical modeling
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the application of discrete-time models in population dynamics
  • Learn about solving separable differential equations
  • Explore numerical methods for simulating population decline using Python or FORTRAN
  • Investigate the implications of integer constraints in mathematical modeling
USEFUL FOR

Mathematicians, students studying differential equations, and anyone interested in mathematical modeling of population dynamics will benefit from this discussion.

Math Henry
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Homework Statement


[/B]
Summarizing: two civilizations hate each other, one of the civilizations throws a curse at the second. The second civilization succumbs to chaos and has a change in Population each week of ΔP= -√P. That is:
Pn = Pn-1-√Pn-1

Homework Equations


[/B]
Considering that the civilization starts with a population of 676 people, how many week until it reaches zero?

The Attempt at a Solution


[/B]
I know it's solution uses differentiation and i know it's probably easy, but i can't seem to get a grasp at it, and it really frustrates me. I've done it manually and is ≅50 weeks, but that didn't satisfied me and i need that answer nice and tidy using calculus. Please help me out. Thanks in advance
 
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Math Henry said:

Homework Statement


[/B]
Summarizing: two civilizations hate each other, one of the civilizations throws a curse at the second. The second civilization succumbs to chaos and has a change in Population each week of ΔP= -√P. That is:
Pn = Pn-1-√Pn-1

Homework Equations


[/B]
Considering that the civilization starts with a population of 676 people, how many week until it reaches zero?

The Attempt at a Solution


[/B]
I know it's solution uses differentiation and i know it's probably easy, but i can't seem to get a grasp at it, and it really frustrates me. I've done it manually and is ≅50 weeks, but that didn't satisfied me and i need that answer nice and tidy using calculus. Please help me out. Thanks in advance

Your model is a discrete-time difference model, so calculus is not really appropriate for it. Doing it manually is absolutely the correct way to go.

If you really do want to use calculus to get an approximate (not exact) answer, you can solve the differential equation
$$ \frac{dP}{dt} = -\sqrt{P}, \; P(0) = 676$$
and determine where ##P(t) = 0.##

The real problem is that neither the discrete-time difference method of the continuous-time calculus method captures reality---the fact that at any time ##P(n)## or ##P(t)## must be an integer. Thus, the equation ##P(n+1) = P(n) - \sqrt{P(n)}## cannot hold exactly because it often produces a non-integer result for ##P(n+1)##. It is not at all clear how to fix this up.
 
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Ray Vickson said:
The real problem is that neither the discrete-time difference method of the continuous-time calculus method captures reality---the fact that at any time ##P(n)## or ##P(t)## must be an integer. Thus, the equation ##P(n+1) = P(n) - \sqrt{P(n)}## cannot hold exactly because it often produces a non-integer result for ##P(n+1)##. It is not at all clear how to fix this up.
Thank you Ray for the quick reply, at least now i know that the answer is not that obvious.

Ray Vickson said:
If you really do want to use calculus to get an approximate (not exact) answer, you can solve the differential equation
$$ \frac{dP}{dt} = -\sqrt{P}, \; P(0) = 676$$
and determine where ##P(t) = 0.##

So, if I ignore the fact that I am using a model of population which can only hold meaning for integer populations, that is, any result P ∈ ℕ, and instead treat it like an ordinary system which accept results P ∈ ℝ , i get, by integrating both sides:
$$ P(t) = 676 - \sqrt{P}*t $$
Is that the furthest i can go in this problem with calculus? P.S.: I know that i can solve that kind of problem easily with a simple Python or FORTRAN program for bigger populations, but the book it never mentioned the need for it.
 
Math Henry said:
Thank you Ray for the quick reply, at least now i know that the answer is not that obvious.
So, if I ignore the fact that I am using a model of population which can only hold meaning for integer populations, that is, any result P ∈ ℕ, and instead treat it like an ordinary system which accept results P ∈ ℝ , i get, by integrating both sides:
$$ P(t) = 676 - \sqrt{P}*t $$
Is that the furthest i can go in this problem with calculus?P.S.: I know that i can solve that kind of problem easily with a simple Python or FORTRAN program for bigger populations, but the book it never mentioned the need for it.

No, you do NOT get ##P(t) = 676 - \sqrt{P(t)} t##; that is not how you solve a differential equation. Anyway, your notaton ##\sqrt{P} * t## is meaningless, since there is only one ##P## here---and it takes ##t## as an argument. When we write a differential equation as ##dP/dt =-\sqrt{P}## that is really shorthand notation for ##dP(t)/dt = -\sqrt{P(t)}##.

Google "differential equation" for more information, or look in your textbook if you have one (and if it covers that topic). Even better: Google "separable differential equation".
 
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