Discussion Overview
The discussion revolves around the percentage of matter in the universe that contributes to the formation of black holes. Participants explore various claims, theories, and calculations related to this topic, questioning the validity and reliability of the figures presented, particularly the assertion that 99.9999% of matter goes into making black holes.
Discussion Character
- Debate/contested
- Exploratory
- Technical explanation
Main Points Raised
- Some participants reference Richard Carrier's claim, based on Lee Smolin's work, that 99.9999% of the universe's matter is involved in black hole formation, questioning its truth and calculability.
- Others emphasize the importance of falsifiability in scientific claims, suggesting that the focus should be on whether such statements can be proven false rather than their truth value.
- One participant argues that while theories must be falsifiable, specific claims about percentages can be verified, although this claim is reiterated without resolution.
- A participant expresses skepticism about the high percentage of matter going into black holes, suggesting that observational evidence contradicts such a claim, as black holes are detectable through their effects on surrounding stars.
- Another participant discusses the mass-energy conversion processes in stars, noting that a small fraction of the universe's initial mass survives to become stars and subsequently black holes, implying that the percentage of matter going into black holes is likely much lower than 99.9999%.
- A later reply clarifies the meaning of "recover" in the context of black holes swallowing matter, expressing interest in the current state of matter that has gone into black holes rather than future projections.
- One participant cites a source estimating that black holes constitute about 0.0011% of the universe's mass, noting the difficulty in accurately determining this figure and the lack of evidence for a high abundance of individual black holes.
Areas of Agreement / Disagreement
Participants do not reach a consensus on the percentage of matter that contributes to black hole formation. Multiple competing views are presented, with some arguing for a very high percentage and others suggesting it is significantly lower.
Contextual Notes
The discussion highlights the complexity of measuring the mass of black holes and the challenges in verifying claims about their contribution to the universe's total matter. There are unresolved assumptions regarding the definitions of matter and the processes involved in black hole formation.