Is El Nino Linked to Increased Risk of Plane Crashes in the Western US?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the relationship between El Nino and the risk of plane crashes in the Western US, particularly for flights on Boeing 737s between San Jose and LAX. Participants conclude that historically, El Nino does not correlate with an increased risk of commercial plane crashes due to the low frequency of such incidents. Additionally, the Boeing 737 is recognized as one of the safest aircraft in operation, and California's weather during El Nino is generally more favorable than that of other regions in the US.

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  • Understanding of El Nino weather patterns
  • Familiarity with aviation safety statistics
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  • Awareness of regional weather impacts on flight operations
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  • Research El Nino's effects on weather patterns in the Western US
  • Examine aviation safety statistics for Boeing 737s
  • Investigate historical data on plane crashes during El Nino years
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hammertime
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I go to college in LA but I live in the SF Bay Area and will be flying between San Jose and LAX numerous times in the next six months, probably in small Boeing 737's.

Does El Nino, which is known to cause stormy weather in the Western US, increase the risk of plane crashes?

By the way, I've asked this question on another forum just to get as much feedback as possible. Also, I'm not sure if 'Aerospace Engineering' is the right forum for a place like this, so the mods may end up moving it.
 
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hammertime said:
Does El Nino, which is known to cause stormy weather in the Western US, increase the risk of plane crashes?
Not historically no. there are so few plane crashes of commercial flights these days that the stats aren't worth anything.

If you want reassurance, Ca in El Nino is still better weather than most of the US for the rest of the year and there's nothing wrong with 737s they are statistically by far the safest plane in the skies.

And finally my deepest sympathy to anyone who has to fly in-to/out-of/anywhere near LAX in any weather.
 
mgb_phys said:
And finally my deepest sympathy to anyone who has to fly in-to/out-of/anywhere near LAX in any weather.

Which statistically has a higher suicide rate from annoyance then deaths by plane crashes :smile:
 

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