twofish-quant
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Wallace said:We don't just add whatever dark matter we need to balance the sums, instead you take the predictions from simulations which have modeled the gravitational evolution of structure from the early universe to today (or to whatever redshift you are looking at) and compared that to observations. There is not the freedom to invent whatever mass is needed, you're constrained by the physics, which gives results which agree with observations.
And the other thing is that there are *tons* of observations. One other thing is that a lot of the observations are culmulative, which means that my just taking more of the same type of observation, you beat down the errors, and you have situations in which knowing that the number is 2, doesn't make a difference but knowing that the numbers if 2.3 and not 2.6 makes a huge difference.
To be fair, the current data is possibly not good enough, the extra model complexity in something like TeVeS means you prefer a simpler model like LCDM unless the data was clear enough.
One reason that people also tend to dark matter is that it's easier to intuitively think about dark matter than general relativity. General relativity (and generalizations of it like TEVES) is a beautiful elegant theory. It's also a pain in the rear end to get any sort of calculation from it. So if you do a calculation, you *assume* that weird gravity isn't that important, because if it's not important, you get a result. If your results don't make sense then you bite the bullet and go back and add in the complex stuff later.
This is the sort of thing that leads to scientific revolutions. If there is something from measurements that suggests that TEVES explains some weird thing about the early universe, then what I'll do is to spend about three months and put TEVES physics into my supernova code. Now it might be that when I do that, suddenly I get realistic explosions, in which case I publish something, which causes people to apply TEVES to their stuff, and you could get a snowball effect in which within a year or two, modified gravity becomes the new "standard model"
Or maybe not. The reason I'm not putting strange gravity into my supernova code right now is because it's going to take three to six months to get it to work, and *right now* there are other pieces of physics that I could spend my time looking at. (And yes, people have tried to put dark matter candidates into supernova code, and that doesn't do much.)