As said, I do not think that the decline of string research program is just temporary one. In the past, there were difficulties but now people is seeing that each year original objectives of string theory are far, and far, and farther. String theory history looks like a divergent asymptotic series.
Marcus said:
I must say that observing this string "downsizing" going on has increased my respect for the honesty and courage of certain researchers such as Andy Strominger.
Said I the contrary? I am against half-true that many string physicists popularized as the new standard in scientific communication. I am also against arrogance typical of many string theorists (of course not all).
Now, let me reply your very interesting comments.
Marcus said:
1. it doesn't mean anything unless you say FOR WHOM it is a waste of time.
I disagree; I provided abundant data in all aspects of the theory (geometry, hidden dimensions pointlike behavior, spectral decomposition, relativity, arrow of time, reductionism, etc.) and already explained that I was talking of string theory like a TOE on post #5.
As said by Nobel laureate P. Anderson this year, string theory is a futile exercise as physics. I substituted “futile exercise” by “waste of time” but my evaluation of string theory continues being correct.
I would state that string theorists provide none serious argument why we would believe on string theory, only bold statements like "it is the most promising way" or wrong claims like "is the only was to quantum gravity". I see an injustice here with people that are not string believers.
Marcus said:
2. increasing numbers of people seem to be deciding that FOR THEM it is a waste of time, and so they are getting out of the field, or they are not writing so many research papers as they did. (However on arxiv I see a growing number of string papers by people at Beijing Normal and other large Chinese universities. These people do not think string is a waste of time for them and they are responsible for an increasing fraction of the research postings.)
I am sorry to say this Marcus but this kind of argument is childish. A theory (or hypothesis) is not a “futile exercise as physics” on function of the number of papers or researchers working in it. Or would I remember to you the number of papers in early investigation of perturbative quantum gravity until was shown that QGR was nonrenormalizable on independence of parameter of expansion taken. All previous work in dozens of attempts to quantize GR directly were a waste of time.
Marcus said:
3. your statement does not have a clear meaning unless you specify a waste of time AS WHAT. I think a lot of people would agree that string theory can lead to ideas and results that are interesting AS MATHEMATICS.
The premise is obvious when one know why was formulated string theory. String theory is a “theory” of physics. Its main objectives are unification of forces quantizing gravity, systematization of the standard model, and possibly the explanation of some cosmological mysterious.
Has string theory been interesting on mathematical topics? Of course, but that does not justify the hype around it and its study on physics dept. Moreover, let me say that the impact of string theory in the whole of mathematics is not so huge, at least, it is not more important (by orders of magnitude) that impact of some field theoretical techniques. For example, contrary to popular belief, Fields Medal awarded to Witten was not by the application of pure string theory methods to math, most of mathematical work of Witten was from field theory. Atiyah, who is many times more smart and versed that i in these topics, affirms that string theory has had an impact on mathematics which has been really quite extraordinary. Well, he said that in a popular interview. However, far from popular claims, I see not radical advances on mathematics as provided by the own Atiyah on "index theorems" (theory of quantum operators in quantum field theory).
Marcus said:
4. your statement would not apply to a mathematically gifted young person who goes into string and discovers something interesting and valuable AS MATHEMATICS. You cannot say that such a person is wasting their time!
What gives mathematics intrinsic WORTH is the interest it evokes from other mathematicians. It does not need to be a fundamental testable model of nature.
Already replied. That young mathematician, if interested in string “theory”, would focus on the mathematical branches below string physical theory, including non-commutative geometry, G2 manifolds, K theory, topology, and news branches of analyses and algebra, etc. Of course, with an eye in the “physical” stuff.
Marcus said:
5. however your message, suitably qualified and restricted, is a very helpful one to have expressed---and voicing it actually DOES STRING THEORISTS A FAVOR by increasing the pressure on them to arrive at a nonperturbative background independent formulation that makes falsifiable predictions. This is the only way to be sure that string theorizing is not a waste of time AS PHYSICS.
This is a very, very astonishing simplification of the problem. Background independence is not the magical cure to all problems of string theory. Even if one day a background independent version of string theory is achieved (I doubt), string theory will continue to be a waste of time like a TOE. Moreover, it will continue to be as non-predictive like is now.
Do not forget that LQG is claimed background independent whereas continue to be an “inefficient” approach to quantum gravity. In fact, there is no possibility for obtaining a consistent classical limit converging to GR after of 40 years from Hamiltonina gravity: geometrodynamics, Astherkar QGR, LQG, etc.
Smolin, as others loop theoreticians, assumes that relationism is correct, but it is not as already said. The idea of that causality becomes a fuzzy notion because of fluctuation of light cones is completely wrong.