Is the Stated Uncertainty Consistent with the Data?

  • Thread starter Thread starter ma18
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Uncertainty
Click For Summary
SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on analyzing a set of x and y values to determine the best fit line, assess the probability of ruling out a 5% higher slope, and evaluate the consistency of stated uncertainties with the data. The participant successfully utilized chi-squared minimization to find the best fit, corroborated by Excel graphs. However, challenges arose in determining the probability related to the slope and understanding how to incorporate fitting coefficient errors into the uncertainty assessment. The provided resource offers additional formulas for calculating uncertainties in slope and intercept values.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of chi-squared minimization techniques
  • Familiarity with linear regression analysis
  • Knowledge of statistical uncertainty and error propagation
  • Basic proficiency in using Excel for data visualization
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the principles of chi-squared fitting in detail
  • Learn about statistical hypothesis testing to assess slope probabilities
  • Explore error propagation methods in linear regression
  • Review the formulas for calculating uncertainties in fitting coefficients
USEFUL FOR

Students and researchers in data analysis, statisticians, and anyone involved in linear regression modeling and uncertainty quantification in experimental data.

ma18
Messages
93
Reaction score
1

Homework Statement



I am given a set of x and y values x: (1,2,3,etc.) y: (1.2,2.2,3.1,etc.) with a given uncertainty and am asked

a) find the best fit

b) at what prob can you rule out a 5% higher slope

c) is the stated uncertainty consistent with the data?

Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



I can find the best fit relatively easily by minimizing chi-sqd and setting the derivatives to 0. I am confident in my result as it matches with the graph given by excel.

For part 2 I tried putting a higher value for the given slope into the chi-sqd equation and checking a chart but that didn't give me a reasonable answer (not completely sure about the degree of freedom)

I am not sure how to approach the third part. I have computed the errors in the fitting coefficients but that doesn't seem to play into it.

Thanks,
 
Physics news on Phys.org

Similar threads

  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
1K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
1K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
1K
  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
2K
Replies
2
Views
2K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
7K
  • · Replies 14 ·
Replies
14
Views
3K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
3K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
2K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
1K