Markov Chains and absorption probabilites

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves a single-celled organism with particles of two types, A and B, and requires finding absorption probabilities and expected times to absorption for a specific case where N = 3. The context is rooted in Markov chains and their application to biological processes.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the identification of absorbing states and the probabilities associated with transitions between states. There is uncertainty about how to calculate the probabilities and expected times to absorption, particularly from state 2 to state 1.

Discussion Status

The discussion is ongoing, with participants exploring different aspects of the problem. Some have identified absorbing states, while others are questioning the methods for calculating transition probabilities. There is no explicit consensus yet on the approach to take.

Contextual Notes

Participants are grappling with the implications of independent draws in determining the composition of daughter cells and the probabilities of transitioning between states. The original poster expresses uncertainty about how to proceed after identifying the absorbing states.

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Homework Statement


Could someone please help me with this question?

A single-celled organism contains N particles, some of which are of type A, the others of
type B . The cell is said to be in state i , where 0<=i<=N if it contains exactly i particles
of type A. Daughter cells are formed by cell division, but fi rst each particle replicates itself;
the daughter cell inherits N particles chosen at random from the 2i particles of type A
and 2N-2i of type B in the parent cell.

Find the absorption probabilities and expected times to absorption for the case N = 3.


Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution


So far i have that the absorbing states are i=0 and i=3 but can't work out the probabilities or times to absorption. Don't know where to start now that i have my absorbing states
 
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From state i, the (A,B) numbers of the daughter are determined by N independent "draws", with probabilities P(A) = i/N and P(B) = 1-P(A) in each draw.
 
So is the probability of say reaching state 1 from state 2 1/5 from the number of possible combinations of the daughter cell or am i going about this the wrong way?
 
macca1994 said:
So is the probability of say reaching state 1 from state 2 1/5 from the number of possible combinations of the daughter cell or am i going about this the wrong way?

I have said all I intend to say on the subject.
 

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