Mid-term Elections: Republicans Take House and Senate

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around predictions and opinions regarding the outcome of the upcoming mid-term elections, specifically whether Republicans will take control of both the House and Senate. Participants explore historical comparisons, economic implications, and the political landscape, including the impact of past policies and voter behavior.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Political analysis

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants predict that Republicans will take both the House and Senate, drawing parallels to the political climate of 1994 when Republicans gained control.
  • Others argue that current circumstances, such as involvement in wars and new programs, will prevent a return to budget surpluses as seen in the past.
  • Concerns are raised about the GOP's resistance to extending unemployment benefits, which some view as a missed opportunity for effective stimulus.
  • There is mention of the projected deficit increase associated with extending tax cuts for the wealthy, with calls for Democrats to highlight this issue as a form of class warfare.
  • Some participants express skepticism about the effectiveness of either party in addressing key social issues, suggesting that political control does not significantly change the underlying problems.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of predictions and concerns, with no consensus on the likely outcomes of the elections or the implications of current policies. Multiple competing views remain regarding the effectiveness of the parties and the economic context.

Contextual Notes

Participants reference historical data and predictions from platforms like Intrade, but the discussion includes uncertainty about the actual impact of proposed policies and voter behavior.

What will the make-up of Congress be in the mid-terms

  • Democratic House, Democratic Senate

    Votes: 6 54.5%
  • Democratic House, Republican Senate

    Votes: 1 9.1%
  • Republican House, Democratic Senate

    Votes: 1 9.1%
  • Republican House, Republican Senate

    Votes: 3 27.3%

  • Total voters
    11
  • Poll closed .
Jimmy Snyder
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Is it too soon to predict? I say Republicans take House and Senate this year. We might even see surpluses come back as they did when Republicans took House and Senate in 1994. That was a good thing right?
 
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Jimmy Snyder said:
Is it too soon to predict? I say Republicans take House and Senate this year. We might even see surpluses come back as they did when Republicans took House and Senate in 1994. That was a good thing right?

We weren't involved in two wars in 1994. That alone will prevent surplusses, even without the new, recently-enacted programs.
 
Brain-dead US voters will certainly realize that the GOP has steadfastly resisted the most effective broad-based stimulus (extending unemployment benefits) because it could "add to the deficit", and it's up to the Democratic pit-bulls like Biden to harp on the fact that the GOP is pushing for extension of Bush's tax cuts for the wealthy, with a projected deficit increase of ~$700B over the next 10 years. Dems need to man up and highlight this class warfare for what it is.
 
turbo-1 said:
Brain-dead US voters will certainly realize that the GOP has steadfastly resisted the most effective broad-based stimulus (extending unemployment benefits) because it could "add to the deficit",
It won't increase the deficit by http://www.statesman.com/business/unemployment-benefit-extension-set-for-senate-vote-today-811840.html" ?

and it's up to the Democratic pit-bulls like Biden to harp on the fact that the GOP is pushing for extension of Bush's tax cuts for the wealthy, with a projected deficit increase of ~$700B over the next 10 years. Dems need to man up and highlight this class warfare for what it is.
How many unemployment point hits do you expect from those tax increases on Jan 1, 2011? Or do you believe the connection between tax increases and reduced economic output is a brain dead suggestion?
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Jimmy Snyder said:
Is it too soon to predict? I say Republicans take House and Senate this year. We might even see surpluses come back as they did when Republicans took House and Senate in 1994. That was a good thing right?

Intrade gives a 56% chance Republicans will take the house, up from ~38% at the beginning of 2010
http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com&contractId=639646

and a 71% chance Democrats will hold the Senate, down from 90% at the beginning of 2010.
http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?contractId=639642&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Same old BS no matter who is in control. when the Democrats are in control, abortion issues heat up, when the Republicans are in control, anything having to do with the word "God" heats up.
 

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