Noise modeling with Markov modeling

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ramesses
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Hi
I'm using accelerometer & horizontal gyroscope in order to replace GPS. Now, I'want to model the noise with first order markov process, to use it in kalman filter.
I recorded measurement on all axes and computed auto-correlation.
This picture represents auto-correlation on one of axes.
http://picpaste.com/pics/autocorrelation_x-qjpnbYJk.1437477728.png

Now, I know that the first order markov process takes the following equation :
w = white noise which has the same variance.
and P is the correlation

My problem is how to fix the value of "P" (know as correlation) ?
thank you
 
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Gauss-Markov process ?
 
The Gauss-Markov process gives a good result as you see in this picture.
Now, I don't understand why I need to use kalman filter in-order to estimate the position's error ?
why we don't integrate directly the Gauss-Markov sequence ?
2A5Bmqzc2uO9.png