Permutations and arranging order

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    Permutations
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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around a probability problem involving permutations, specifically calculating the probability of two individuals, Dave and Beth, standing next to each other in a line of 12 juniors. The focus is on understanding the reasoning behind the correct calculation of arrangements and the application of factorials in this context.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Homework-related

Main Points Raised

  • Pavel initially calculates the probability as 2x10! / 12! but questions why it should actually involve 11! instead of 10! when considering arrangements.
  • One participant suggests that Beth's position must be determined before placing Dave next to her.
  • Another participant explains that there are 2 ways for Dave and Beth to be arranged (DB or BD) and that they can be positioned anywhere in the line, leading to a total of 11 possible positions for their combination among the other juniors.
  • A further contribution reiterates that the total arrangements where Dave and Beth are next to each other is 2*11*10!, emphasizing the need to account for their relative positions among the group.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants generally agree on the need to use 11! in the calculation, but there is some variation in how they articulate the reasoning behind this, leading to a nuanced discussion without a single consensus on the explanation.

Contextual Notes

The discussion highlights the importance of understanding the arrangement of individuals in permutations, particularly in cases where specific conditions (like adjacency) must be met. There are unresolved aspects regarding the clarity of reasoning behind the factorial calculations.

Pavel
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Hi, I was answering what I thought was an easy problem and I got it wrong, but not sure why. Please give me an insight.

Problem: 12 juniors are ordered (in a line) for a drill. What's the probability (assuming all arrangments are random) of Dave standing next to Beth?

My reasoning: There are 12! possible arrangments of juniors. The number of arrangments where Dave is next to Beth is 2 (number of ways Beth can stand next to Dave, DB - BD) multiply by all possible arrangments for the remaning juniors, i.e. 10!. So, the probability is then 2x10! / 12!.

Well, that's wrong - 2 must be multiplied by 11!, not 10!, but I don't understand why - there are 10 juniors left to be ordered in any way to be combined with Beth and Dave. I realize that if I write it out on a paper, I'll count 11! of them. But I don't want to simply memorize the formula for this type of problem, I want understand the reasoning. Why 11! ?

Thanks,

Pavel.
 
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You have to tell Beth where to stand before you place David next to her.
 
There are 10! ways for the others to line up, and thus 10! ways for Dave to be first, Beth second, and everyone else in some order behind them. If Dave and Beth can be in any order that is 2*10! ways. But Dave and Beth don't have to be together at the front of the line -- they could be anywhere. There are 2*10! ways there could be one person in front of the two (and 9 behind), 2*10! that there are two people in front of them, etc., for a total of 11 * (2 * 10!) ways, or 2 * 11! ways.

Edit: or what EnumaElish said.
 
OK, so you have 2 ways for Beth to stand next to Dave, BD and DB, and thus have 10! ways of arranging the remaining children. However, there are 11 ways of arranging the combination of Beth and Dave amongst the other children. So, there are 2*11*10! ways of arranging the children so that B and D are next to one another.
 

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