Population increases with annual rate problem

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a population growth problem concerning Mexico's population, initially stated as 107.4 million in 2006, with an annual growth rate of 1.43%. Participants are tasked with predicting the population for the year 2020 based on this growth rate.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants explore the formula for population growth and question the validity of the exponent used for calculating future population. Some express confusion over the time frame and the application of the growth rate, while others attempt to derive the population using the exponential growth model.

Discussion Status

The discussion includes various interpretations of the problem, with some participants questioning the accuracy of the initial population estimate for 2028 and the growth rate application. A few have provided calculations based on different assumptions, but there is no explicit consensus on the correct approach or outcome.

Contextual Notes

Some participants mention a potential typo in the original problem statement and express uncertainty about the assumptions made regarding the growth rate and the population figures for future years.

vadimd
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Population of Mexico. In 2006 the population of
Mexico was 107.4 million. If Mexico’s population continues
to grow at an annual rate of 1.43%, then the population
in 2028 will be 107.4(1.0143)14 <-------- is an exponent


a) Find the predicted population in 2020 to the nearest
tenth of a million people.


Not sure how to start
 
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That value for 2028 doesn't make sense to me. There are 2028- 2006= 22 years between 2006 and 2028. If the population increases by 1.43% per year, then each year it is 1.0143 larger than the previous year. That should be 1.014322.
 
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This is what I told the instructor that there is a type and this does not make sense, he insisted that I look for help with my classmates.
Oh well I share your dilema.
Thank you for your response I will see what the rest of the class came up with.
Thank you once more I thought I was going retarded LOL
 


i know its a little late, but i got an answer that makes some sence. if anything at least this might clear it up for a test or something.
i use y=Ce^(kt) C= inital population k= rate t= time y= final population.
work through first time to find k
so y=Ce^(kt) would give

this is final pop. inital pop 2028-2006 = 22years
131018987.268=107400000e^(22k) k = .00903555

then go through again this time solve for y and using k from above and new time (14 years)
y=107400000e^(.00903555*14) y = 121882548.523 can't have .523 people so round down
so about 121.9 million
 


Thank you guys for all the help , I will be a regular from now on on this site < I love it

I will let you know the answer as soon as I get my paper back


Vadim
 


fball558 said:
i know its a little late, but i got an answer that makes some sence. if anything at least this might clear it up for a test or something.
i use y=Ce^(kt) C= inital population k= rate t= time y= final population.
work through first time to find k
so y=Ce^(kt) would give

this is final pop. inital pop 2028-2006 = 22years
131018987.268=107400000e^(22k) k = .00903555

then go through again this time solve for y and using k from above and new time (14 years)
y=107400000e^(.00903555*14) y = 121882548.523 can't have .523 people so round down
so about 121.9 million
Okay, so you are assuming the 2028 population is correct, not the 1.43% increase. That's acceptable to me but it seems odd since we can measure the rate of increase directly (and assume it will continue in the future) while we cannot measure the population in 2028 directly!
 

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