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Population increases with annual rate problem

  1. Feb 23, 2009 #1
    Population of Mexico. In 2006 the population of
    Mexico was 107.4 million. If Mexico’s population continues
    to grow at an annual rate of 1.43%, then the population
    in 2028 will be 107.4(1.0143)14 <-------- is an exponent


    a) Find the predicted population in 2020 to the nearest
    tenth of a million people.


    Not sure how to start
     
  2. jcsd
  3. Feb 23, 2009 #2

    HallsofIvy

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    Re: Stuck

    That value for 2028 doesn't make sense to me. There are 2028- 2006= 22 years between 2006 and 2028. If the population increases by 1.43% per year, then each year it is 1.0143 larger than the previous year. That should be 1.014322.
     
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2009
  4. Feb 24, 2009 #3
    Re: Stuck

    This is what I told the instructor that there is a type and this does not make sense, he insisted that I look for help with my classmates.
    Oh well I share your dilema.
    Thank you for your response I will see what the rest of the class came up with.
    Thank you once more I thought I was going retarded LOL
     
  5. Feb 24, 2009 #4
    Re: Stuck

    i know its a little late, but i got an answer that makes some sence. if anything at least this might clear it up for a test or something.
    i use y=Ce^(kt) C= inital population k= rate t= time y= final population.
    work through first time to find k
    so y=Ce^(kt) would give

    this is final pop. inital pop 2028-2006 = 22years
    131018987.268=107400000e^(22k) k = .00903555

    then go through again this time solve for y and using k from above and new time (14 years)
    y=107400000e^(.00903555*14) y = 121882548.523 cant have .523 people so round down
    so about 121.9 million
     
  6. Feb 25, 2009 #5
    Re: Stuck

    Thank you guys for all the help , I will be a regular from now on on this site < I love it

    I will let you know the answer as soon as I get my paper back


    Vadim
     
  7. Feb 25, 2009 #6

    HallsofIvy

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    Staff Emeritus
    Science Advisor

    Re: Stuck

    Okay, so you are assuming the 2028 population is correct, not the 1.43% increase. That's acceptable to me but it seems odd since we can measure the rate of increase directly (and assume it will continue in the future) while we cannot measure the population in 2028 directly!
     
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