Potential Doomsday: Consequences and Impact

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the potential consequences and impacts of a geomagnetic reversal, including its historical context and implications for human health and navigation. Participants explore various theories and evidence related to magnetic field behavior, its effects on radiation exposure, and the relationship between magnetic anomalies and mass extinctions.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants question whether a geomagnetic reversal will occur soon and discuss potential consequences, including increased cancer rates and disruptions to navigation.
  • One participant cites paleomagnetic evidence suggesting that geomagnetic reversals have occurred many times in the past, but the timing of the next event remains uncertain.
  • Another participant notes that a decline in the magnetic field may not necessarily lead to a complete flip and discusses historical patterns of magnetic field behavior.
  • Concerns are raised about harmful radiation exposure during a geomagnetic reversal, although some participants argue that evidence does not support a direct link between magnetic anomalies and mass extinctions.
  • There is a suggestion that modern navigation systems may mitigate the impact of a magnetic field change.
  • Some participants express skepticism about the severity of potential consequences, while others believe an increase in skin cancer cases could be a reasonable expectation.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views on the likelihood and consequences of a geomagnetic reversal, with no consensus reached on the severity of its impacts or the relationship between magnetic field changes and human health.

Contextual Notes

Participants reference various historical data and theories, but there are limitations in the assumptions made regarding the implications of geomagnetic reversals and the evidence cited is not universally accepted.

wolram
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So is it going to happen? what will be the consequences if it does
happen, will we suffer a multi pole magnetic field for hundreds of years?
some say that cancer will increase at the multi poles and that thousands
of people will die as a result, so who cares about global warming if
a new doomsday is around the corner?
 
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It will undoubtably happen. Paleomagnetic evidence shows it has happened many many times in the past, and we have no reason to assume it will stop soon. The question is when, and as far as I know, the answer is we are not exactly certain. Evidence from palaeomagnatism in old lava flows in the US does point to a long period of weakened magnetic field with poles wandering rapidly. Measurements from a particular lava flow showed that (assuming we have the rate of cooling correct) the poles could shift by about 6 degrees a day.


I can't provide any sources for the lava flows in the US I'm afraid, as I learned this on a TV program a while back. If there are any inaccuracies in my facts, I apologise.
 
Well, this article is very informative about the recent Earth magnetic behaviour.

A few remarks.

A decline in magnetic field may just be either a temporarely deviation, or the start of a magnetic excursion and does not necesary lead to a flip of the field and a new "chron".

There is no definite trend in flips. The last 25 million years, the average period between flips has been several 100,000 years but there have been "superchrons":

Between 118 and 83 million years ago (Ma) (the Cretaceous superchron), the field maintained constant normal polarity, and it remained reversed from 312 to 262 Ma ...

http://hypertextbook.com/physics/electricity/geomagnetism/
 
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When was the last flip?
 
779,000 years ago, The change form the Matuyama chron to the current Brunhes cron.
 
Interesting article Andre, but other than disrupting navigation and
letting in more harmful radiation, what consequences could be
suffered ?
 
Navigation is not going to be disrupted anymore with GPS, inertial navigation system, Decca, etc. Even homing pigeons seem to be cheating, not using the Earth magnetic field.

As I already linked here, presently there is no suggestion of climate related to the Earth magnetic field. Remains possible harmfull radiation, however paleonthologic evidence suggest no relationship between mass extinctions and magnetic anomalies. So, all in all, we may just survive without a scratch.
 
Andre said:
So, all in all, we may just survive without a scratch.
I think an increase in cancer cases is not unreasonable to expect though. Skin cancer especially I think.
 

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