Predicting adult height given current height, age and growth plate measurement

In summary, the speaker visited an orthopedic specialist at the age of 15 and 5 months, with a height of 5 ft, 11 1/4 in. The specialist reviewed recent X-rays and noted that the speaker was not yet halfway done growing. They are due for another X-ray next year to better predict their growth. The speaker mentioned their lack of expertise in regression models, but suggested looking at literature and studies for guidance. They also mentioned having Marfan syndrome, which may affect predictions. Another person suggested considering adjusted R^2 for the syndrome. Overall, the speaker is seeking guidance on predicting their growth.
  • #1
moonman239
282
0
I went to see an orthopedic specialist this year, when I was 15 years and 5 months old. I am 5 ft, 11 1/4 in. The specialist looked at my then-recent X-rays and I was not even halfway done growing. (I'm pretty sure I scored a 2 out of 5.)

I am due for another X-ray sometime next year, at which point I may have a better idea of how quickly I am growing.
 
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  • #2
I think this may be more of a medical issue than a statistical one, tho you may want to check some regression models for prediction.
 
  • #3
I just want to make it clear that I have no special training in that area, and
that I am just giving my opinion based on what you posted, so please don't
take what I said as an authoritative statement. Instead, I was suggesting you
could take a look at the literature, look for some studies that you believe best describes
your situation, and then maybe post the data here for us to suggest.
 
  • #4
Bacle said:
I think this may be more of a medical issue than a statistical one, tho you may want to check some regression models for prediction.

That's what I've been trying to do. Wish there was a Website I could input that data into. Also, I probably should have mentioned this but I have Marfan syndrome, which may eed to be factored into a prediction. Maybe I should just wait until my next ortho appt.
 
  • #5
You might want to consider then R^2 adjusted for your syndrome; see the bottom of:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coefficient_of_determination: .

With the same caveat as in my 2nd post. Good Luck.

Edit: I thought it would be fair to give Pyrrhus credit for introducing me to adjusted R^2.
 
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1. How accurate is the prediction of adult height based on current height, age, and growth plate measurement?

The accuracy of the prediction depends on the methods and equations used. Some equations may have a higher accuracy rate than others. Additionally, the prediction may be affected by other factors such as genetics, nutrition, and overall health.

2. At what age can the prediction of adult height be made using these factors?

The prediction of adult height using current height, age, and growth plate measurement can typically be made during adolescence, when growth plates are still present. This is usually between the ages of 12-16 for girls and 14-18 for boys.

3. Can the prediction of adult height be influenced by external factors?

Yes, the prediction of adult height can be influenced by external factors such as nutrition, exercise, and overall health. These factors can impact the growth and development of an individual, which can affect their ultimate height.

4. Can this prediction be used for individuals with different ethnic backgrounds?

The equations used for predicting adult height may differ for individuals with different ethnic backgrounds. Therefore, the prediction may not be as accurate for those with different ethnicities. It is important to use equations that are specific to the individual's ethnic group for a more accurate prediction.

5. Can the prediction of adult height change over time?

Yes, the prediction of adult height can change over time as an individual's growth and development can be affected by various factors. It is important to regularly monitor and update the prediction as the individual grows and develops.

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