Probability: 4 arbitrary points on a sphere

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the probability that the center of a sphere is contained within a tetrahedron formed by four arbitrary points on the sphere. Participants explore various reasoning approaches, calculations, and interpretations related to this probability problem.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant initially claims the probability is P = 1/8 based on a flawed reasoning process involving hemispheres and the placement of points.
  • Another participant questions the logic behind defining hemispheres based on single points and challenges the assumptions made about the placement of multiple points.
  • A participant acknowledges a miscalculation in their reasoning, suggesting that the second and third points can be placed in a hemisphere with a probability of 1, while expressing uncertainty about the fourth point's placement.
  • Some participants discuss the intuitive idea that three points can always fit into a hemisphere, but express confusion about how this applies to the fourth point and the resulting probability of 1/8.
  • One participant refers to a video that provides an elegant explanation of the problem, indicating that it may clarify the reasoning behind the probability calculation.
  • Another participant reiterates the standard solution involving the triangle formed by the first three points and the condition for the fourth point's placement, emphasizing the connection to antipodes and the resulting probability of 1/8.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the reasoning behind the probability calculation, with some agreeing on the standard solution while others remain uncertain about their own approaches. The discussion includes multiple competing interpretations and does not reach a consensus.

Contextual Notes

Participants highlight limitations in their reasoning, including assumptions about hemispheres and the independence of point placements. There are unresolved mathematical steps and a lack of clarity regarding the definitions used in the probability calculations.

tomwilliam2
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This is a well-known problem I think: take four arbitrary points on a sphere as the vertices of a tetrahedron. What is the probability that the centre of the sphere will be located within the tetrahedron?

A friend gave me this puzzle to solve, and I came up with the answer P = 1/8. This is the right answer, but my reasoning was actually completely wrong, and should have produced the result 7/8...I looked up the answer and found a different (and correct) way of solving it. I was wondering though, what was wrong with my logic:

First Step: I assumed that if the tetrahedron were not to contain the centre of the sphere, then it must be possible to slice the sphere into two hemispheres in such a way as not to incorporate any of the points. This seems to be intuitively correct to me, but maybe that's where the mistake lies.

Second Step: Calculate the probability of all four points falling within the same hemisphere:
##1 \times 1 \times 1/2 \times 1/4 = 1/8##

Unfortunately, despite giving this answer quite quickly (and getting it right), I then realized that this was the probability of the centre of the sphere NOT being located within the tetrahedron, so something has gone badly wrong. In retrospect, I'm not sure about the second step at all, because the coordinates are still to be defined for the hemispheres. I don't know if I can adapt the probability calculations in step 2 to produce the answer 7/8, or is this just rephrasing the problem and getting nowhere?

Just for clarity, I do know the standard solution: the first three points form a triangle on the surface of the sphere. The condition is met if the fourth point is located within the triangle formed by the antipodes of the first three points. The probability of this is 1/8 as the 6 points (first three plus their antipodes) form 8 triangles when interconnected, covering the surface of the sphere, and the average size will therefore be 1/8. I just wanted to know if this solution is in any way linked to my instinctive approach.

Thanks!
 
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Can you provide your argument for each of the factors in your probability?
 
Orodruin said:
Can you provide your argument for each of the factors in your probability?
Yes, although I've just realized I wrote it down wrong.

I figured that the first point can be anywhere, so it has a probability of 1. The second would have a probability of 1/2 of falling within the hemisphere we've defined, as would the third and fourth, so that line should have read ##1 \times 1/2 \times 1/2 \times 1/2 = 1/8##.
However, I've since realized that the second also has a probability of 1, as wherever it lands, you can define the hemisphere to include these first two points. I'm now realising that the third can also be made to fit within the hemisphere independently of where the first two are, so it should also be 1. Now the fourth I have no clue how to work out the probability it will be in the same hemisphere, but I have a feeling the probability is 7/8 and that I've simply redefined the original question (if my assumption is correct about hemispheres).
 
tomwilliam2 said:
The second would have a probability of 1/2 of falling within the hemisphere we've defined,
And what hemisphere would that be that is defined by a single point? Is there any way you can have two points on a sphere that do not fall in the same hemisphere? Continue the same trail of thought also for the other points.
 
That question is one of the Putnam questions isn't it? This video is quite good at explaining, perhaps you might get some insight from it.



Cheers
 
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cosmik debris said:
That question is one of the Putnam questions isn't it? This video is quite good at explaining, perhaps you might get some insight from it.



Cheers

Thanks, that is a really elegant explanation.
 
Orodruin said:
And what hemisphere would that be that is defined by a single point? Is there any way you can have two points on a sphere that do not fall in the same hemisphere? Continue the same trail of thought also for the other points.
Intuitively I would say 3 points chosen arbitrarily can always be made to fit into a correctly chosen hemisphere, but the fourth point...I can’t see an intuitive jump to explain the 1/8 probability. The video below is very clear. It must be that my method doesn’t bring any added value.
 
tomwilliam2 said:
Intuitively I would say 3 points chosen arbitrarily can always be made to fit into a correctly chosen hemisphere, but the fourth point...I can’t see an intuitive jump to explain the 1/8 probability.
The jump is in the standard argumentation:
tomwilliam2 said:
the first three points form a triangle on the surface of the sphere. The condition is met if the fourth point is located within the triangle formed by the antipodes of the first three points. The probability of this is 1/8 as the 6 points (first three plus their antipodes) form 8 triangles when interconnected, covering the surface of the sphere, and the average size will therefore be 1/8.
 

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