Probability Distribution Problem

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on determining the appropriate probability distribution to model the flow of traffic at an intersection where cars pass at a rate of 30 cars per hour. Participants confirm that the Poisson distribution is suitable for modeling the number of events (cars passing) in a fixed time interval, specifically three minutes. The average rate of cars passing is clarified as 30 cars per hour, leading to the conclusion that the Poisson distribution can be effectively utilized to calculate the probability of no cars passing during this interval.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Poisson distribution
  • Basic knowledge of probability theory
  • Familiarity with rate calculations in traffic flow
  • Ability to interpret statistical models
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the properties and applications of the Poisson distribution
  • Learn how to calculate probabilities using the Poisson formula
  • Explore traffic flow modeling techniques
  • Investigate other distributions applicable to time-based events, such as the Exponential distribution
USEFUL FOR

Statisticians, data analysts, traffic engineers, and anyone involved in modeling event occurrences over time will benefit from this discussion.

joypav
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Suppose that cars pass a certain intersection at a rate of 30 miles per hour. What is the probability that during a three-minute interval, no cars will pass the intersection?

I am really just wondering which distribution to use. I thought is should be Poisson because it is asking for events occurring during a certain time period. But it doesn't say how many cars pass the intersection on average?
 
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joypav said:
Suppose that cars pass a certain intersection at a rate of 30 miles per hour. What is the probability that during a three-minute interval, no cars will pass the intersection?

I am really just wondering which distribution to use. I thought is should be Poisson because it is asking for events occurring during a certain time period. But it doesn't say how many cars pass the intersection on average?
I think you mean 30 cars per hour, not 30 miles per hour. The speed at which the cars pass does not seem to be relevant.

If it's 30 cars per hour, then on average a car passes every 2 minutes. You should be able to use this to construct a Poisson distribution to model the flow of traffic.
 
My review definitely says miles per hour. I was thinking it may be a typo too, but wanted to make sure I wasn't just misunderstanding. Thank you
 

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