Probability of a probability

  • Thread starter Dr Chaos
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  • #1
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Main Question or Discussion Point

Imagine a simple chocolate bar promotion in which there is a 6 in 1 chance of winning another bar. My question is; If you buy six bars, what is the chances that at least one will be a winner?
 

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  • #2
CompuChip
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This is not a probability of a probability.
It is simply a binomial distribution, letting X = the number of winners in the 6 that you buy, you want to calculate P(X >= 1 | n = 6, p = 1/6)
 
  • #3
CRGreathouse
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My question is; If you buy six bars, what is the chances that at least one will be a winner?
One minus the chance that none are winners.
 
  • #4
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Imagine a simple chocolate bar promotion in which there is a 6 in 1 chance of winning another bar. My question is; If you buy six bars, what is the chances that at least one will be a winner?
6 in 1 chance?

I guess you mean 1 in 6 chance.
 
  • #5
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0.665102023319615912208504801098..........
 

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