Problem in Geometric Probability

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    Geometric Probability
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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around understanding geometric probability through specific problems. Participants explore two scenarios: the probability of two people meeting based on their random arrival times and the probability of a coin covering integer-coordinate points on a Cartesian plane. The focus is on conceptual understanding and graphical representation rather than straightforward solutions.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Conceptual clarification
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant expresses difficulty in understanding geometric probability compared to algebraic probability and requests detailed solutions to two specific problems.
  • Another participant clarifies that the problems are from a math olympiad and emphasizes their complexity compared to typical probability problems.
  • A participant questions the assumptions regarding the arrival times in the first problem, suggesting that the second person could leave without waiting and that the first person could also leave without meeting the second.
  • One participant proposes a method for the second problem by considering a square around integer points and defining a "winning region" for the coin's placement.
  • Another participant suggests using the relation between arrival times to define a region in a square that represents the conditions under which the two people meet.
  • A participant discusses the graphical representation of the problems, indicating that understanding the graph is crucial for solving the problems.
  • One participant mentions simplifying assumptions regarding the coin's placement and its interaction with integer points, noting that the problem is more mathematical than physical.
  • Another participant confirms that the tips provided were helpful for their understanding.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express varying levels of understanding and assumptions regarding the problems, indicating that there is no consensus on the best approach or solution. Multiple competing views and interpretations of the problems remain unresolved.

Contextual Notes

Participants highlight limitations in their assumptions about the problems, such as the independence of arrival times and the physical behavior of the coin, which may affect the validity of their proposed methods.

Arka
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The normal algebric probability is easy to understand but I find the geometric probabilities less understandable. Can you please help me with a few problem related to this area of probability so that I can understand it better. Here are my problems,
1. Two persons A and B agree to meet at a place between 11 to 12 noon . The first one to arrive waits for 20 min and then leaves. If the time of their arrival be independent and at random, what is the probability that A and b meet?(Ans :5/9)

2.Consider the cartesian plane R^2 and let X denote the subset of points for which both co-ordinates are integers, A coin of diameter 1/2 is tossed randomly onto the plane. Find the probability that the coin covers a point of X.(Ans: 0.2(approx))

Please give me detailed stepwise solution to the two problems with explanation for the steps. Thanks.:smile:
 
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By the way it's not some homework problem. The problem was given in a math olympiad in my country.They say that these sums are quite easy but I can't even understand how to proceed with the first step.It's not like those normal probability sums I have encountered before. Please give me some ideas to solve them.
 
I assume in problem one , that the 2nd person just arrived at some point and left, without waiting, and arrived at 11:40 at the latest (since 11:40+20 min =12:00)? Could we also assume the 1st person stayed for 20 minutes, did not meet the 1st and then left? Sorry, maybe it is obvious.

And, sorry, but it is against the policy of this site to give out explicit, detailed answers, even if it is not HW, but we will do our best to guide you through to the answer.
 
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For the 2nd, I would do something like this: consider a single square with vertices in ## \mathbb N \times \mathbb N ##. What region around any of the vertices would be a "winning region", i.e., a region where a coin falling would intersect the vertices?

For the 1st, I would suggest you consider the relation ##|A_1-A_2| \leq 20 ## , where ##A_1, A_2## are the arrival times, within a ## 60 \times 60 ## square, or one going from 12 to 1..
 
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Can you explain the graphical representation of these two sums. Thats what I'm not getting. The detailed solution won't matter as long as I understand the graph.Thanks.
 
Sorry I don't have too much time to go into detail, but I will come back later. The coin falls any where in the plane with equal probability . Note that I am making some simplifying assumptions and my work may not hold if these assumptions are false. The idea is that the corner of the coin farthest from a pair of the integers must land within a region that is 1/4 units (radius of coin) or less away from the pair of integers for the coin to overlap this pair of points. Notice this is not physically realistic, in that the coin may flip up-and-down before settling, but again, this is a Math problem ( I assume) and not a Physics problem, so I assume if the point in the coin farthest from the vertex lands in this region, it will intersect the vertex in question.

For 2, x,y will meet iff y arrives within 20 minutes of x's arrival for the two to meet. This gives ypu the equation ##|A(x)-A(y)| \leq 20 ##, for ##A(x),A(y)## arrival times of ##x,y## . This describes a region in the unit square, and its area is equivalent to the probability of meeting. i.e., person 2 comes in, stays 20 minutes and leaves. This means person 1 must come in either (within) 20 minutes before or withn 20 minutes (after) the arrival of person 2 for the two to be able to meet. Now you need to consider the possible arrival times of person 2.

Will be out for a while now, but will return later on tonight.
 
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Thanks for the tips .They were quite helpful.:smile:
 
Glad they helped :smile:
 

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