Propagation of Error/Uncertainty

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the propagation of error and uncertainty in mathematical functions, particularly focusing on how to calculate uncertainties using derivatives and the implications of these calculations. Participants explore various methods for determining uncertainty and question the validity of their results in specific examples.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Conceptual clarification
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant presents a method for calculating uncertainty using derivatives and questions why their results do not align with expected values for specific function evaluations.
  • Another participant references a formula for relative uncertainty and applies it to a different function, finding discrepancies between calculated and expected outcomes.
  • A third participant explains the concept of using differentials to approximate errors in functions and discusses how relative errors behave under multiplication and addition of measurements.
  • Further, a participant expresses confusion about the intuitive meaning of their results when applying uncertainty calculations to a specific measurement range.
  • Another participant clarifies that using derivatives assumes a linear approximation, noting that larger intervals may lead to greater discrepancies due to the nature of the tangent line approximation.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the validity and interpretation of their uncertainty calculations. There is no consensus on the intuitive meaning of the results or the accuracy of the methods used, indicating ongoing debate and exploration of the topic.

Contextual Notes

Limitations in the discussion include assumptions about linearity in the approximation of functions, the dependence on the size of measurement intervals, and the potential for significant discrepancies when applying uncertainty calculations over larger ranges.

Who May Find This Useful

This discussion may be useful for students and professionals in physics, mathematics, and engineering who are interested in understanding the nuances of error propagation and uncertainty in measurements and calculations.

luma
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I'm trying to get an intuitive sense for errors and picked some random numbers:

x = 2.5 +/- 0.01
find f(x) = x³

d f(x) / dx = 3x²
d f(x) = 3x² dx
= 3(2.5)² 0.01
= 0.1875

What I don't get is why f(x - Δx) ≠ f(x) - 0.1875 and why f(x + Δx) ≠ f(x) + 0.1875

Where did I go wrong in my method for finding the uncertainty value? Thanks
 
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I found a webpage which lists:

[tex]Q = a^n \Rightarrow \frac{\Delta Q}{Q} = |n| \frac{\Delta a}{a}[/tex]

Applying the method I used in OP here,

[tex]\frac{\delta Q}{\delta a} = n a^{n-1}\\<br /> \delta Q = na^{n-1}\delta a\\<br /> \therefore \frac{\delta Q}{Q} = \frac{na^{n-1}\delta a}{a^n} = n \frac{\delta a}{a}[/tex]

So it looks like my method of deriving the uncertainty is correct.

Working out f(x) = x^6; x = 25 +/- 1 I get do,

f(25 - 1) = f(24) = 191102976
f(25 + 1) = f(26) = 308915776

now using the identity df(x) = 6 25^5 * 1 = 58593750

25^6 + 58593750 ≠ (25+1)^6
25^6 - 58593750 ≠ (25-1)^6

Any ideas?
 
Last edited:
Yes, you can think of a small error as an "differential" and approximate errors in functions of the measurement using the derivatives.

If [itex]y= x^2[/itex] then [itex]dy/dx= 2x[/itex] so that [itex]dy= 2xdx[/itex]. You could also say, then, that
[tex]\frac{dy}{y}= \frac{2xdx}{y}= \frac{2xdx}{x^2}= 2\frac{dx}{x}[/tex]
so that the "relative error", the actual error in the measurement divided by the measurement, is multiplied by 2.

More generally, if f(x,y)= xy, where x and y are independent measurements, then [itex]df= ydx+ xdy[/itex] and so
[tex]\frac{df}{f}= \frac{ydx+ xdy}{xy}= \frac{dx}{x}+ \frac{dy}{y}[/tex].

This is equivalent to the old engineering "rule of thumb": "When measurements are added, their errors add, when measurements are multiplied, their relative errors add".
 
Thank you for your informative post.

But what I still don't get is what they are showing?

If I make a measurement of x = 2 +/- 1 otherwise written as x = [1,3]

Then y = x² would be [1,9]

Using the rule derived dy = y (2 dx / x) = 2 x dx = 2*2*1 = 4

y = 2² +/- 4 = [0,8] ≠ [1,9]

So what does this represent intuitively?

Is this only an approximation? It doesn't look like it should be
 
Last edited:
Using the derivative is basically a way of saying "We're going to assume our function really looks like a line, and use the slope of that line to figure out what the error is".

The bigger your interval, the more room for error as the tangent line becomes a worse and worse approximation.

Notice that [0,8] is the range of the tangent line at x=2 over the interval[1,3]
 
Thank you! Of course...
 

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