Pros and Cons of Fusion Power Generation

[mheslep]

Bussard passed away shortly after signing the Navy contract, and Nebel of the POPS paper has picked it up. They have the machine mostly built and are testing components. Nebel says they may have some results by May.

I was going to post links, but it won't let me. You can find the MSNBC mention of the project by Googling Nebel MSNBC.

There is still a lot of debate about whether bremsstrahlung losses will exceed fusion power, which can probably only be resolved by experiment. Nebel believes the ion upscattering is not a problem (see the Chacon reference in the Polywell wikipedia page).

Yes there's a picture of the latest device up on the EMC2 website w/ some joker locked inside it.
I have the Chacon paper:
Energy gain calculations in Penning fusion systems
using a bounce-averaged Fokker–Planck model

of which Nebel is not an author. Do have information or cite indicating Nebel supports the views in the Miley/Chacon paper?

 

[TallDave]

Do have information or cite indicating Nebel supports the views in the Miley/Chacon paper?

Yes, Nebel has called the paper "the most complete treatise on" the issue (this is in the comments to the MSBNC blog entry mentioned above). He (Nebel) also mentioned at the TalkPolywell site that he discussed the matter with Chacon a couple weeks ago, and they consider the upscatter issue a "red herring" for Polywell.

His full comment, which you can find in the Theory Section of TalkPolywell under topic "worst case scattering and deeper wells":

I had a long talk with Luis Chacon about the ion scattering a few weeks back. We concluded that for the Polywell, these issues were a red herring. The reason is that the densities are so high in the Polywell that you really don't need the ion focussing to be all that good. If you are running a gridded system where particles are lost every 20 passes or so, then it is an issue. For the Polywell, the electron recirculation fraction appears to be ~ 1e5 so the effective energy loss from the electrons is small. Consequently, you don't need huge focussing to get the density high.

 

[mheslep]

I see Chacon's paper cited a couple times; Chacon and Nebel are authors on all of them except the first, a 'how we computed it' paper partly on Chacon's work, and Knoll is also LLNL. I was hoping to see some independent comment.

Jacobian-free Newton–Krylov methods: a survey of approaches and applications - all 8 versions »
DA Knoll, DE Keyes - Journal of Computational Physics, 2004 - Elsevier
Jacobian-free Newton–Krylov (JFNK) methods are synergistic combinations of
Newton-type methods for superlinearly convergent solution of nonlinear equations
and Krylov subspace methods for solving the Newton correction equations. ...
Cited by 159 - Related Articles - Web Search

Experimental studies of electrostatic confinement on the intense neutron source-electron device - all 3 versions »
J Park, RA Nebel, WG Rellergert, MD Sekora - Physics of Plasmas, 2003 - link.aip.org
Theoretical works by Barnes and Nebel [RA Nebel and DC Barnes, Fusion Technol.
[bold 38], 28 (1998); DC Barnes and RA Nebel, Phys. Plasmas [bold 5], 2498
(1998)] have suggested that a tiny oscillating ion cloud may undergo a self- ...
Cited by 5 - Related Articles - Web Search - BL Direct

Periodically oscillating plasma sphere - all 4 versions »
J Park, RA Nebel, S Stange, SK Murali - Physics of Plasmas, 2005 - link.aip.org
The periodically oscillating plasma sphere, or POPS, is a novel fusion concept
first proposed by DC Barnes and RA Nebel [Fusion Technol. [bold 38], 28 (1998)].
POPS utilizes the self-similar collapse of an oscillating ion cloud in a ...
Cited by 3 - Related Articles - Web Search

Stability of thermal ions confined by rigid-rotor electron clouds in Penning fusion systems - all 2 versions »
L Chacón, DC Barnes - Physics of Plasmas, 2000 - link.aip.org
In the Penning fusion device, a spherical cloud of electrons, confined in a
Penning-type trap, creates the ion-confining electrostatic well. Calculations
performed with a bounce-averaged Fokker–Planck model have suggested that ...
Cited by 1 - Related Articles - Web Search - BL Direct

Two-dimensional electron-electron two-stream instability of an inertial electrostatic confinement … - all 5 versions »
A Marocchino, G Lapenta, EG Evstatiev, RA Nebel, J … - Physics of Plasmas, 2006 - link.aip.org
Theoretical works by Barnes and Nebel [DC Barnes and RA Nebel, Phys. Plasmas
[bold 5], 2498 (1998); RA Nebel and DC Barnes, Fusion Technol. [bold 38], 28
(1998)] have suggested that a tiny oscillating ion cloud (referred to as ...
Cited by 1 - Related Articles - Web Search - BL Direct

Equilibrium and low-frequency stability of a uniform density, collisionless, spherical Vlasov system - all 3 versions »
DC Barnes, L Chacón, JM Finn - Physics of Plasmas, 2002 - link.aip.org
Equilibrium and stability of a collisionless, spherical Vlasov system with
uniform density are considered. Such an electron system is useful for the
Periodically Oscillating Plasma Sphere (POPS) fusion system. In POPS the ...
Cited by 1 - Related Articles - Web Search - BL Direct

Space charge neutralization in inertial electrostatic confinement plasmas - all 4 versions »
EG Evstatiev, RA Nebel, L Chacón, J Park, G … - Physics of Plasmas, 2007 - link.aip.org
Inertial electrostatic confinement (IEC) schemes for fusion devices have been
studied both experimentally and theoretically for some 40 years. Purely
electrostatic systems and combinations of magnetic and electrostatic ..

 

[TallDave]

The above-mentioned Park is also on the WB-7 team, btw.

I haven't seen much independent comment either. Might be more after WB-7 results are published, esp. if the larger 100MW demo reactor project gets picked up.

FWIW, Zubrin's "Energy Victory" has a chart showing a strong correlation between oil prices and fusion research funding, so that can't hurt the chances of a Polywell grant.

 

[TallDave]

Sorry to bump again, but people might find this comment from Nebel interesting:

...let me suggest the following exercise. Let's assume that a Polywell reactor is in the wiffleball mode, namely that:

n*kBolt*Te = B**2/(2*mu0)

to make it simple, let's use mks units and assume B = 10 Tesla, mu0 =4.0e-7*pi, Te = 1.0e4 eV and kBolt = 1.6022e-19 Joules per eV. Calculate what n is and compare it to the ITER value at www iter org/a/index_nav_4.htm Tell me what you get.

...click on “read more” under the design section, then “main parameters” then on the “more” button. What you will find is that the average density of ITER is ~ 1.0e20/m**3. If you use the formula I sent you for the Polywell, you will get a density ~ 2.5e22/m**3. The upshot of this is that the Polywell has a power density that is ~ 62500 times bigger than ITER EVEN IF THERE IS NO ION CONVERGENCE! Thus, a Polywell should far outperform a Tokamak even with a constant density Maxwellian plasma. Even if Rider and Nevins were correct (which Chacon has pretty clearly shown they aren’t) this isn’t a show stopper. It has a lot more significance for Hirsch/Farnsworth machines that have low average densities than it does for the Polywell.

He says 62500, but I assume the 6 is a typo and he meant 2500.

 

[mheslep]

Sorry to bump again, but people might find this comment from Nebel interesting:...

link? linky-link-link please? Or which paper?

 

[TallDave]

Sorry, it doesn't let me post links :(

It was just a comment he made at Talk Polywell. Let's see if I can trick the anti-spam program:

www talk-polywell org/bb/viewtopic.php?t=468&postdays=0&postorder=asc&highlight=62500&start=30

 

[Astronuc]

The Helically Symmetric eXperiment

Something that has been overlooked.

HSX is a modular coil stellarator optimized for quasi-helically symmetry located in the Electrical and Computer Engineering department at the University of Wisconsin. Plasma physics research goals include investigation of transport, turbulence, and confinement in a quasi-helically symmetric magnetic field.

http://www.hsx.wisc.edu/

http://www.hsx.wisc.edu/parameters.shtml

Coil Current (maximum): 13.4 kiloAmperes
Magnetic Field Strength (maximum): 1.37 Tesla
Power Density: 0.23 W/cubic centimeter (with Heating Power (ECRH): 100 kiloWatts)

 

[TallDave]

Oh duh, now that I read the above I realize the power density is the ion density squared (i.e. 250 ^ 2 = 62500).

More from Nebel here. He also has a discussion in the comments with a tokamakker named Art Carlson who is known for throwing cold water on non-tokamak fusion schemes.

http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/06/12/1136887.aspx?p=1

 

[mheslep]

Oh duh, now that I read the above I realize the power density is the ion density squared (i.e. 250 ^ 2 = 62500).

is _related to_ the ion density.

Power density = Ion density x the fusion cross section for that ion species (D-T being highest), and fusion cross section being dependent on ion temperature.

 

[TallDave]

Ya, I assume squaring it was the rough estimate Nebel was using there.

 

[DavesPlanet]

Yes there's a picture of the latest device up on the EMC2 website w/ some joker locked inside it.

dude was not locked inside, it's the reflection of the photographer in the glass portal.