Buzz Bloom said:
the concept is that the expansion of the universe has no influence on the trajectories of two bodies if they have stable orbits
This is basically true, but let me restate it in a more precise form.
Suppose we want to model our solar system as it is "embedded" in the universe as a whole. In order to do that, we have to "paste together" two different spacetime geometries. Basically, our model will be that we have a spherical "bubble", containing the solar system, in which the spacetime geometry is the Schwarzschild geometry; and this "bubble" will be embedded in the universe as a whole, whose spacetime geometry is the FRW geometry. At the boundary of the "bubble", which we can think of as some spherical surface that is at a radius from the Sun of, say, 1 light-year, the two geometries have to match, which involves some technical mathematical conditions that I don't think we need to go into detail about here.
In a model of this type, the fact that we have spherical symmetry in both regions (the Schwarzschild region inside the "bubble" and the FRW region outside) means that we can invoke the shell theorem, which says that, if we have a spherical "bubble" with a spherically symmetric spacetime outside it (in this case, the FRW region describing the rest of the universe), the spacetime geometry outside the "bubble" has no effect at all on the spacetime geometry inside the "bubble".
Translated into more concrete physical terms, this means that the expansion of the universe (which is a property of the FRW spacetime geometry outside the "bubble") has no effect on the orbits of objects in the solar system (which is a property of the spacetime geometry inside the "bubble").
Of course our real universe does not exactly satisfy the idealized assumptions of the idealized model described above. But the fact that we
can use the Schwarzschild geometry (or more precisely a power series approximation to it, called the post-Newtonian approximation) to make very accurate predictions regarding the orbits of objects in the solar system means that, in fact, the idealized model I described is an extremely accurate approximation--that in fact it is true even in our real universe that the expansion of the universe, the spacetime geometry outside the solar system, has no effect on the orbits of objects inside the solar system.
Buzz Bloom said:
At that time, as I remember it, the concept that dark energy can influence the orbits was not discussed.
I don't think it was at first, but IIRC it was later on in the discussion. If I can find the thread I'll post a link to it here.
Adding dark energy to the idealized model I described above is actually pretty straightforward, and doesn't change the basic answer I gave above. The key difference between dark energy and the rest of the stress-energy in the universe is that we
cannot assume that the density of dark energy inside the solar system is exactly zero. In the idealized model above, when we used the Schwarzschild geometry to model the region inside the "bubble", where the solar system is, that was equivalent to assuming that there is
no other stress-energy in that region, aside from the Sun itself (we are here treating the planets and everything else as test objects, with no effect on the spacetime geometry; relaxing that assumption doesn't change the basic answer, it just complicates the details of how we predict the actual orbits of objects inside the solar system). In other words, we were assuming that the uniform density in the FRW model of the universe as a whole stops at the boundary of the "bubble", and vacuum begins.
In the presence of dark energy, we can no longer make that assumption, because dark energy has the same density literally everywhere--not just as an approximation on large distance scales, as for the ordinary matter and energy in the universe as it is represented in the FRW geometry, but literally everywhere. That means that, to include dark energy in our idealized model, we have to use for the region inside the "bubble", not the Schwarzschild geometry, but the Schwarzschild-de Sitter geometry.
It turns out, however, that the
only thing that changes inside the "bubble" when we do that is that the orbits of objects are slightly different (because, heuristically, the inward "acceleration due to gravity" of the Sun is slightly offset by the outward "acceleration" due to dark energy, so the situation is as if the Sun's mass were slightly smaller than it actually is, with appropriate changes to all orbital parameters). But it is
still true that those orbits are not affected by the spacetime geometry outside the bubble--which includes the expansion of the universe. The orbits are affected by the dark energy
inside the bubble (more precisely, by the dark energy that is closer to the Sun than the orbiting object is), but they are not affected by the dark energy
outside the bubble any more than they are affected by anything else outside the bubble.