News Richard Dawkins on Rick Perry (and the rest of the Republican Party)

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Governor Rick Perry exemplifies a troubling trend within the modern Republican Party, where ignorance and lack of education are seen as qualifications rather than liabilities. This phenomenon raises concerns about the quality of leadership, especially when candidates like Perry and others dismiss established scientific facts, such as evolution, which is a cornerstone of modern biology. The discussion highlights that a politician's stance on evolution can serve as a litmus test for their overall understanding of science and evidence-based reasoning. Many participants express that a lack of scientific literacy in candidates is a significant issue, suggesting it indicates a broader disconnect from reality and critical thinking. Ultimately, the conversation underscores the importance of solid education and rational discourse in political leadership.
  • #51
Ivan Seeking said:
Not the same argument. Differing views on economics is a legitimate point of contention. Not understanding the difference between that and faith-based arguments that deny scientific evidence, is a huge part of the problem. One is absolutely NOT the same as the other. One is a rational disagreement and the other is not.

Differing views on certain economic issues is a legitimate point of contention, but the Democratic party's adherence to quite a few economic views seems to be based more out of pure ideology and an ignoring of the scientific evidence of economics then a legitimate disagreement, at least from what I have seen. That said, I think the right adhere to some strictly ideological views regarding certain economic issues as well.
 
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  • #52
Ivan Seeking said:
You are entitled to your opinion, but that doesn't make Bernanke guilty of treason. :biggrin:

Perry's Bernanke comment is a prime example of far-right ideology regarding economics.
 
  • #53
Differing views on certain economic issues is a legitimate point of contention, but the Democratic party's adherence to quite a few economic views seems to be based more out of pure ideology and an ignoring of the scientific evidence of economics then a legitimate disagreement, at least from what I have seen.

Its important to realize that economics isn't really a science, its a social science. This is a big difference- making predictions can change behavior, can break the models, etc.

Further, lots of economics simply doesn't have much empirical support- what evidence is there for an upward sloping supply curve? Micro-economics is too "pure" to be easily empirically observable in the actual economic word (consider the Card-Krueger minimum wage study),and macro relies so much on expectations that something like the fed holding a press conference can change the empirical picture dramatically.

This can be contrasted with evolution or climate change (which is actual science) where the evidence is much less ambiguous, and easily replicable.

Its one thing to say "I don't believe raising the minimum wage will have much of an impact on unemployment"- there is legitimate empirical evidence to suggest this is true, and a micro-economics model to suggest this is false. Its another to say "I don't believe man is causing global warming"- here there is a causal mechanism that can be readily observed in a high school science fair project,and there is tons of empirical evidence.

So that being said, in what areas are the democratic party's views on economics based on "pure ideology"? What mainstream economic areas do democrat's strong ideological beliefs blind them to? Also, what about the gold-bug republicans? Rick Perry has made derogatory comments about the fed, Ron Paul has crusaded for a gold-standard for years. These aren't mainstream positions!
 
  • #54
CAC1001 said:
Differing views on certain economic issues is a legitimate point of contention, but the Democratic party's adherence to quite a few economic views seems to be based more out of pure ideology and an ignoring of the scientific evidence of economics then a legitimate disagreement, at least from what I have seen. That said, I think the right adhere to some strictly ideological views regarding certain economic issues as well.

That point is, whether one economic theory or another is superior is debatable and dependent on the times. In my view, it is clear that the core conservative principle of deregulation is primarily what caused the economic collapse. The report showing this from the budget office, or maybe the GAO, has been posted before. So while there may be evidence that some liberal principles and policies have failed, there is certainly evidence of the same for conservative principles and policies.

Again, this is nothing like the distinction between faith-based arguments, and economic models, and not knowing the difference.

I would add that while we have been in a classic "liberal spending spree", it was started by one of the most iconic free marketeers of all time - Paulson. When people like Paulson are forced to adopt classically liberal policies, and when Bush nationalizes the two biggest banks in the country [technically a socialist action], one has to recognize that these are extraordinary times. We are still in crisis management mode. One can't judge Obama according to ordinary economic standards. You can be sure that he didn't want to inherit the worst economy since the great depression.
 
  • #55
What is really scary about the tea party and people like Bachmann is that they would destroy the economy based on faith and ideology. They opposed the bailout when indeed the future of the global economy was at stake, and Bachmann's recent fiasco with the debt ceiling shows that she is also irrational. What she proposed was absolute nonsense and S&P agreed. She even denied their own reasoning for what they did!

Again, when people like Paulson break ranks and the Republicans start nationalizing banks, it is pretty clear that ideology has to go out the window. This is math problem, not one of philosophy.
 
  • #56
ParticleGrl said:
Its important to realize that economics isn't really a science, its a social science. This is a big difference- making predictions can change behavior, can break the models, etc.

Further, lots of economics simply doesn't have much empirical support- what evidence is there for an upward sloping supply curve? Micro-economics is too "pure" to be easily empirically observable in the actual economic word (consider the Card-Krueger minimum wage study),and macro relies so much on expectations that something like the fed holding a press conference can change the empirical picture dramatically.

Economics I'd say is definitely a science, but not a "hard" science in the way say physics or chemistry is. But it still has theories and hypotheses. It's a social science as you say, and you can't test it in the way you can other sciences, but it is still a science. You can present hypotheses and theories and then put them to the test to see if they work or not. By contrast, some "hard" sciences cannot be tested in a laboratory, such as astronomy or even much of climate science.

This can be contrasted with evolution or climate change (which is actual science) where the evidence is much less ambiguous, and easily replicable.

I don't know if evolution is replicable so much as there is just a lot of evidence for it and there really is no alternative explanation. But no one has really actually seen it happen, at least not on a large scale. Climate change, the evidence I think is much more questionable and not easily replicable either. As said, we can't really conduct experiments with climate change.

Its one thing to say "I don't believe raising the minimum wage will have much of an impact on unemployment"- there is legitimate empirical evidence to suggest this is true, and a micro-economics model to suggest this is false.

Well it depends. Raising the minimum wage too high will raise unemployment by simple supply and demand, as it's a price control. You raise the price on something higher than what it should be and you will end up with a surplus. It isn't completely cut and dry, just as the price of gas can go up, it doesn't mean the demand automatically drops off, but after a certain point, people begin to change their behavior significantly.

Its another to say "I don't believe man is causing global warming"- here there is a causal mechanism that can be readily observed in a high school science fair project,and there is tons of empirical evidence.

The global climate is a lot more complex than a science fair project though, and the empirical evidence issue is controversial as well. There's also a problem with politics in it, as any university or scientist that doesn't adhere to the line of man-made climate change runs a serious risk to their career and ability to get grant money.

For example, the Sun influences the climate as well; CERN recently concluded in an experiment that climate models will need to be revised because of this: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/08/25/cern_cloud_cosmic_ray_first_results/ .

So that being said, in what areas are the democratic party's views on economics based on "pure ideology"? What mainstream economic areas do democrat's strong ideological beliefs blind them to?

Bigger government is always the solution, government is very competent, restraining free trade preserves jobs, belief in a living wage, blind faith in massive fiscal stimulus, a large social welfare state to fix poverty problems (without which the claim is poverty will skyrocket), etc...there are some others I am just not remembering them.

One can make arguments for all or most of the above, but too many on the Left have a blind adherence to them not based on really understanding the issues.

Also, what about the gold-bug republicans? Rick Perry has made derogatory comments about the fed, Ron Paul has crusaded for a gold-standard for years. These aren't mainstream positions!

I agree 100% here, hence my comment above on the Right adhering to some views on economics based much more so out of ideology as well. Other such right-wing views are: all taxes bad, all government bad, smaller government is always the answer, government cannot do anything right, etc...
 
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  • #57
Ivan Seeking said:
That point is, whether one economic theory or another is superior is debatable and dependent on the times. In my view, it is clear that the core conservative principle of deregulation is primarily what caused the economic collapse. The report showing this from the budget office, or maybe the GAO, has been posted before. So while there may be evidence that some liberal principles and policies have failed, there is certainly evidence of the same for conservative principles and policies.

It's more complex than that, too little government in certain areas, too much in other areas. For example, one of the most unregulated portions of the financial system, the private equity funds and the hedge funds, did not contribute to bringing down the system. Between 2000 and 2009, thousands of such funds failed. None got a bailout. It was the highly-regulated investment banks that nearly brought the system down in that sense, and that was because they were not behaving like free-market institutions. They took on massive risk under the assumption the government would bail them out (which just incentives even more recklessness).

You had the ratings agencies which rated securities triple-A that shouldn't have been, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which George W. Bush tried to subject to greater regulations (this after he signed the Sarbannes-Oxley regulations, which were a response to the scandals that occurred at Worldcom, Tyco, Enron, etc...Enron in particular operating in a very regulated industry), there was the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates low, etc...it is more complex than simply too little or too much regulation.

Again, this is nothing like the distinction between faith-based arguments, and economic models, and not knowing the difference.

Not when the Left are not arguing via differing economic models, but simply out of ideology. Just because there is an economic model to support one's position doesn't mean one is arguing based on that model.

I would add that while we have been in a classic "liberal spending spree", it was started by one of the most iconic free marketeers of all time - Paulson. When people like Paulson are forced to adopt classically liberal policies, and when Bush nationalizes the two biggest banks in the country [technically a socialist action], one has to recognize that these are extraordinary times. We are still in crisis management mode. One can't judge Obama according to ordinary economic standards. You can be sure that he didn't want to inherit the worst economy since the great depression.

I'd say we can judge him somewhat by how he and the Democrats pushed through a massive stimulus in a manner where they acted as if there was no question that was what needed to be done, when it was extremely questionable, and how he has likely hamstrung the economy with regulatory uncertainty via Obamacare, the Dodd-Frank financial regulatory bill, his pushing the EPA to regulate carbon dioxide as a pollutant, and so forth.
 
  • #58
@ NeoDevin

I agree with Dawkins' and your comments. Lack of understanding of basic science is definitely a 'deal breaker' for me, although I don't think I'd characterize it as signifying a "fundamental disconnect from reality" insofar as it's a social norm wrt many (most?) communities in the US.

It's a pleasure to read the learned and eloquent expositions of people of Dawkins ilk, as opposed to the pronouncements of people like Perry, Bachmann, Palin, etc.

Whether Perry is a 'true believer' is anybody's guess. If he isn't, then he's just a typical pandering politician who will deliberately misrepresent pretty much anything if he deems it to be in his best interest to do so. If he is, then he's just willfully ignorant (ie., advocating and adhering to the dictates of theistic religion). Unfortunately, US politics, insofar as it's dealing with a largely apathetic and/or willfully ignorant population, apparently only allows those two alternatives (either a Christian or lying about it), as proclaiming disbelief wrt the dominant theistic religion of the society is assumed to be 'political suicide'.

I agree with the suggestion that people like Perry, GW Bush, Bachmann, Reagan, and their ilk, become politically prominent because the US political process and the viability of a candidate is largely based on something other than reasonable and critical vetting of ideas, positions and policies.
 
  • #59
Getting back to the OP, I have a problem supporting anyone who would disregard well established science and/or evidence in favor of their own blind and/or unscientific religion and/or ideology.
 
  • #60
Evo said:
I was never an Obama fan, I only backed him after McCain announced Palin. At that point, I would have supported Porky Pig.
Me, too. And I was quoted out of context, insulted and called a liar by someone on this forum that should know better, just for saying that I was leaning toward McCain.

Clinton carried a lot of baggage and Obama was not well-known, so my wife and I were leaning toward McCain until he glommed onto Palin. I was still fence-sitting when Katy Couric "ambushed" Palin with really difficult questions like "what periodicals do you read?" That is so sad.
 
  • #61
Ivan Seeking said:
I would add that while we have been in a classic "liberal spending spree", it was started by one of the most iconic free marketeers of all time - Paulson. When people like Paulson are forced to adopt classically liberal policies, and when Bush nationalizes the two biggest banks in the country [technically a socialist action], one has to recognize that these are extraordinary times. We are still in crisis management mode. One can't judge Obama according to ordinary economic standards. You can be sure that he didn't want to inherit the worst economy since the great depression.

If Obama wasn't up to the task (ethics classes would have taught him) he should have disclosed his lack of knowledge - or he could have dropped out of the race. Instead, he and Biden claimed to have all of the answers.

Remember this?
http://change.gov/agenda/economy_agenda/

"The Obama-Biden Plan
Our country faces its most serious economic crisis since the great depression. Working families, who saw their incomes decline by $2,000 in the economic "expansion" from 2000 to 2007, now face even deeper income losses. Retirement savings accounts have lost $2 trillion. Markets have fallen 40% in less than a year. Millions of homeowners who played by the rules can't meet their mortgage payments and face foreclosure as the value of their homes have plummeted. With credit markets nearly frozen, businesses large and small cannot access the credit they need to meet payroll and create jobs.

Barack Obama and Joe Biden have a plan to revitalize the economy.

Immediate Action to Create Good Jobs in America
Immediate Relief for Struggling Families
Direct, Immediate Assistance for Homeowners, Not a Bailout for Irresponsible Mortgage Lenders
A Rapid, Aggressive Response to Our Financial Crisis, Using All the Tools We Have"


Now in 2011 - 3 years later - we're waiting for President Obama to take a break from his busy campaign-like bus tour and vacation on Martha's Vineyard. It's been reported that he's visited at the home of the CEO of Comcast (NBC/MSNBC). The President has promised to provide his big recovery plan after Labor Day. The speculation among reporters is there are lot's of speeches planned so we all understand "the plan". That tells me he's going to try to push another massive spending Bill designed to force the House Republicans into a box - more of the same and say anything to get elected - IMO of course.
 
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  • #62
Newai said:
Are you sure Dawkins doesn't know that? That Perry might be doing that makes him equally poor a choice IMO.

in which case the man lacks integrity and is a hypocrite
 
  • #63
CAC1001 said:
You can present hypotheses and theories and then put them to the test to see if they work or not.

So, again, I'll ask what empirical evidence is there for an upward sloping supply curve? It is (after all) foundational to economics.

I don't know if evolution is replicable so much as there is just a lot of evidence for it and there really is no alternative explanation.

You never did a fruit-fly lab in a genetics class? I did in both high school and college.

Climate change, the evidence I think is much more questionable and not easily replicable either.

Thats just nonsense. Take several fish tanks (or other clear container), put infrared thermometers in them and fill the boxes with different concentrations of CO2. Now use a a strong incandescent bulb to warm the tanks. Flip the light off, and watch the temperatures as the different tanks cool.

This is easily done at the high school science fair level, and it verifies the central claim of climate change- CO2 traps heat. Everything else in the "debate" is just piddling details. Is there any experiment half as clean that you can do for economics?

Bigger government is always the solution, government is very competent

Both of these are right-wing parodies of democratic positions- not actual positions.

Other such right-wing views are: all taxes bad, all government bad, smaller government is always the answer, government cannot do anything right, etc...

There was a time when I would have said these are left wing parodies of right-wing views. Unfortunately the party has shifted so far into crazy that the candidates sign pledges to the effect of all taxes are bad...
 
  • #64
Proton Soup said:
in which case the man lacks integrity and is a hypocrite

Yeah, I saw Ivan's post only after I replied. It was minutes apart.
 
  • #65
Newai said:
Yeah, I saw Ivan's post only after I replied. It was minutes apart.

wait, are we talking about dawkins or perry? :wink:
 
  • #66
While the Democratic party has their share of reality deniers as well (more in the alt-med/new age camp, rather than the Christian camp, from my observation), it's not endemic like it is in the Republican Party. A Democrat can get elected while espousing significant non-scientific views (whether they actually believe them or are just pandering). A Republican (almost) can't get elected unless they are espousing significant non-scientific views (again, irrelevant of their actual belief in such topics).
 
  • #67
Evo said:
...
Even if they don't say they personally believe, guilty by association. If you sleep with dogs...
A new PWA guideline?
 
  • #68
mheslep said:
A new PWA guideline?
what?
 
  • #69
Evo said:
what?
A new Politics & World Affairs guideline, now accepts guilt by association arguments.
 
  • #70
mheslep said:
A new Politics & World Affairs guideline, now accepts guilt by association arguments.
LOL. Those people I linked to in the article are part of Perry's current religious group. Someone said that maybe he was just pretending to be religious to dupe people for votes (which makes him even worse, IMO). He currently chooses to associate with these people, regardless of whether he might be insincere, he is still associating with these people. Nice try though if you are referring to your attempt to slander a journalist because he hadn't always been a journalist. The guy reported accurately in Forbes magazine. That's acceptable. There is nothing similar here.
 
  • #71
ParticleGrl said:
So, again, I'll ask what empirical evidence is there for an upward sloping supply curve? It is (after all) foundational to economics.

Various businesses and firms in the economy? You invest more, you can get greater returns, but as you invest more and more, those returns become less and less. For example a company spending money to market their product. After a certain point, the curve representing the people receiving the marketing goes upwards. The company would have to hire people to go out and hunt down every hermit living in the backwoods of Kentucky to tell them about their product.

You never did a fruit-fly lab in a genetics class? I did in both high school and college.

Not in college, no, in high school, I might have, it was a while ago though.

Thats just nonsense. Take several fish tanks (or other clear container), put infrared thermometers in them and fill the boxes with different concentrations of CO2. Now use a a strong incandescent bulb to warm the tanks. Flip the light off, and watch the temperatures as the different tanks cool.

This is easily done at the high school science fair level, and it verifies the central claim of climate change- CO2 traps heat.

I don't think anyone disputes that CO2 traps heat, the questions regarding climate change are more:

1) Is the climate actually changing by any really noticeable amount?
2) If it is, are humans releasing CO2 into the atmosphere the primary cause, part of the cause, or having no effect whatsoever right now?
3) What effect does the Sun have on the climate?

Remember also that the climate doesn't stay fixed, it has changed a lot through history. We cannot replicate in a lab the effects of releasing massive amounts of CO2 into the Earth's atmosphere because it is just too complex.

Everything else in the "debate" is just piddling details. Is there any experiment half as clean that you can do for economics?

The CO2 experiment is only "clean" in that you're really simplifying it, testing if increased CO2 in a box traps heat. The atmosphere is far more complex. It's like to test for inflation, we have a "money supply" consisting of ten dollars and an "economy" consisting of ten apples. double the money supply and does inflation occur? Yes, now you have $20, so $2 for each apple. But does increasing the money supply in an economy automatically create inflation? Not necessarilly, because an actual economy is far more complex.

Both of these are right-wing parodies of democratic positions- not actual positions.

Maybe not all Democrats, but it seems to be the position of the current and past Democratic party that is in office, for example in how they saw the solution to poverty as lots of government programs. The current Democratic party, their solution to the economy? Massive stimulus spending. The solution to healthcare? Government (preferably a single-payer system, which ignores the fact that a universal healthcare need not be a government-run system). Their solution to the financial system? Massive regulation. Their solution to global warming? More regulations.

There was a time when I would have said these are left wing parodies of right-wing views. Unfortunately the party has shifted so far into crazy that the candidates sign pledges to the effect of all taxes are bad...

Republicans will not sign on to any promises of spending cuts with tax increases because they've done that in the past and gotten shafted. Both parties IMO have gone out there. The Republican party is just getting attention right now because it is the only party holding primaries. I remember back when Barack Obama was running in the Democratic primary and it seemed to be a contest of who could be the furthest to the left. With the Republican candidates, it's a contest of who can be the furthest to the right at the moment.

The current Democratic party answers to the labor unions, the trial lawyers, and the environmental lobby, and as such, it is difficult for them to do good policy because those constituencies are so far to the Left.
 
  • #72
Discussions of climate change are banned as they lead to flame wars.
 
  • #73
NeoDevin said:
While the Democratic party has their share of reality deniers as well (more in the alt-med/new age camp, rather than the Christian camp, from my observation), it's not endemic like it is in the Republican Party. A Democrat can get elected while espousing significant non-scientific views (whether they actually believe them or are just pandering). A Republican (almost) can't get elected unless they are espousing significant non-scientific views (again, irrelevant of their actual belief in such topics).

Which un-scientific views must Republicans espouse, other than denial of evolution?
 
  • #74
Evo said:
Discussions of climate change are banned as they lead to flame wars.

I am not arguing for or against it, just explaining why I think it is too complex to be replicated in a lab.

Evo said:
LOL. Those people I linked to in the article are part of Perry's current religious group. Someone said that maybe he was just pretending to be religious to dupe people for votes (which makes him even worse, IMO). He currently chooses to associate with these people, regardless of whether he might be insincere, he is still associating with these people. Nice try though if you are referring to your attempt to slander a journalist because he hadn't always been a journalist. The guy reported accurately in Forbes magazine. That's acceptable. There is nothing similar here.

A politician associating with some very questionable people in order to advance his political career? Nothing new there, Barack Obama did that aplenty. I know you have said you don't/didn't like Obama, but I mean he's president and the world hasn't ended or anything. Not saying it justifies Perry doing it either, but that's politics for you.
 
  • #75
CAC1001 said:
A politician associating with some very questionable people in order to advance his political career? Nothing new there, Barack Obama did that aplenty. I know you have said you don't/didn't like Obama, but I mean he's president and the world hasn't ended or anything. Not saying it justifies Perry doing it either, but that's politics for you.
But Perry seems to believe this stuff, I've searched and can't find anything that shows he just went over the fundamentalist cliff for this campaign. No, Obama was criticised for the racial views of his pastor, so he changed churches, not even CLOSE to the same issue. The Governor of Kansas flew to Texas to pray with Perry a week ago. It's looking pretty bad.
 
  • #76
Evo said:
...to slander a journalist because he hadn't always been a journalist...
Questioning expertise is not slander. Slander requires false statements.
 
  • #77
mheslep said:
Questioning expertise is not slander. Slander requires false statements.
Ok, disparage.
 
  • #78
Evo said:
But Perry seems to believe this stuff, I've searched and can't find anything that shows he just went over the fundamentalist cliff for this campaign. No, Obama was criticised for the racial views of his pastor, so he changed churches, not even CLOSE to the same issue. The Governor of Kansas flew to Texas to pray with Perry a week ago. It's looking pretty bad.

A little food for thought - nothing else.

http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/ir...s/2011/08/26/id/408824?s=al&promo_code=CEDB-1

"Iranian authorities began to systematically seize and destroy Bibles after a Shiite cleric issued an urgent warning about the spread of Christianity."
 
  • #79
  • #80
Various businesses and firms in the economy?

Name one? Crack a micro-econ book, and see how many examples they give for real world supply curves.

The CO2 experiment is only "clean" in that you're really simplifying it, testing if increased CO2 in a box traps heat. The atmosphere is far more complex.

Lets avoid specifically discussing global warming (feel free to message me), but keep this in the context of science. Science works by reducing, testing and modeling. The idea is that, yes, things are really complex, so let's isolate the pieces, test them in a controlled environment, and generalize.

Lets turn to your inflation experiment

It's like to test for inflation, we have a "money supply" consisting of ten dollars and an "economy" consisting of ten apples. double the money supply and does inflation occur? Yes, now you have $20, so $2 for each apple. But does increasing the money supply in an economy automatically create inflation? Not necessarily, because an actual economy is far more complex.

You didn't flesh out an actual experiment here. Put money on a table, and apples on a table and nothing happens. You left out the people.

Now, let's say we have 10 people and 10 apples, and everyone has $1, and everyone wants an apple. I imagine the apples will go for $1 each, though I haven't run the experiment.

Now, let's double the supply of money by giving every person $1 more. What is the price of the apples? Probably $2.

Now, let's double the supply of money by giving all $10 to the apple seller. What is the price of the apples? Probably $1

Now, this isn't a real experiment, its a thought experiment (also known as a model). But we did learn something from the model- doubling the supply of money can do different things depending on what you do. By adding a few more layers of complexity, you could probably get a lot of insight out of your apples and dollars game.

What is most interesting is that if you actually run these toy experiments in a lab by playing a game with people, MOST TOY ECONOMIES DON'T FOLLOW STANDARD ECONOMICS PREDICTIONS. See the work of psychologists like Kahneman. People are irrational in predictable ways.

their solution to the economy? Massive stimulus spending.

Actually, it hasn't been massive stimulus, its been paralyzed inaction (which I fault them for, tremendously). Government has been shedding jobs throughout the crisis.

The solution to healthcare? Government (preferably a single-payer system, which ignores the fact that a universal healthcare need not be a government-run system).

The "obamacare" bill (which has a striking resemblance to both Newt Gingrich's health care bill from the 90s and Nixon's health care bill) is NOT a single payer bill, nor is it government run. There is no public option. Its a regulated public market. You seem to be suggesting that the legislation that the democrats passed is somehow not their solution to healthcare?

Their solution to the financial system? Massive regulation.

Actually, Dodd-Frank requires large banks to make plans to unwind banks if they become illiquid. This is to avoid the "too-big too-fail" situation and reduce the need for massive bailouts. The idea being to remove the "big government" induced moral hazard.

Keep in mind that democratic presidents have seen just as much deregulation as republican presidents (Carter lifted the brewing regulations and touched off the microbrew growth in the US, Clinton massively deregulated finance and passed free trade agreements, etc).

Their solution to global warming? More regulations.

Cap and trade (which was the republican solution to global warming in the 90s, actually) is not massive government regulation- its market based. You set a cap, and let the private sector figure out how to come in under the cap. The idea is to avoid complicated micro-managed industry-by-industry regulations.

I would argue the democrat position currently is that "there are sometimes problems that government can solve better than the private sector" and "market failures require the need for some regulations, but its usually best to construct those regulations in a market-oriented way." Its a very centrist party. Its weird but true that 90s Gingrich would be a democrat today (thought 2011 Gingrich has pulled way right).
 
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  • #81
Evo said:
But Perry seems to believe this stuff, I've searched and can't find anything that shows he just went over the fundamentalist cliff for this campaign. No, Obama was criticised for the racial views of his pastor, so he changed churches, not even CLOSE to the same issue.

It is very close an issue. He had spent twenty years in the church, with the Reverand Wright as his spiritual advisor. He resigned his membership only after the radical remarks of the Reverand Wright became public. Keep in mind, Wright had traveled with Louis Farrakhan (a notorious racist) to meet Gaddaffi back in 1984. So he was a pretty questionable association.

That said, I am not disagreeing with your criticisms of Perry, just pointing out that I mean this kind of stuff in politics isn't new.
 
  • #82
ParticleGrl said:
The "obamacare" bill (which has a striking resemblance to both Newt Gingrich's health care bill from the 90s and Nixon's health care bill) is NOT a single payer bill, nor is it government run. There is no public option. Its a regulated public market. You seem to be suggesting that the legislation that the democrats passed is somehow not their solution to healthcare?

Was it Newt's version or Nixon's version that required personal mandates enforced by a massive expansion of the IRS? As for the term "government run" - you can't be serious - or is there a slight difference between mandates and control of every aspect versus "run" that allows this comment?
 
  • #83
CAC1001 said:
It is very close an issue. He had spent twenty years in the church, with the Reverand Wright as his spiritual advisor. He resigned his membership only after the radical remarks of the Reverand Wright became public. Keep in mind, Wright had traveled with Louis Farrakhan (a notorious racist) to meet Gaddaffi back in 1984. So he was a pretty questionable association.

That said, I am not disagreeing with your criticisms of Perry, just pointing out that I mean this kind of stuff in politics isn't new.
I'm not concerned about shenanigans in politics, I'm concerned about christian fundamentalists taking over our country. Very scary to think we might lose the separation of church and state this country was founded on and have a church run country.
 
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  • #84
CAC1001 said:
It is very close an issue. He had spent twenty years in the church, with the Reverand Wright as his spiritual advisor. He resigned his membership only after the radical remarks of the Reverand Wright became public.

For the record, Obama resigned his membership after Wright held a press conference and went over the edge.

If you ever went back and watched the entire original Wright sermon, you would find that he never said "God damn America.". What he said was, "God damn American IF" we don't do the following...[humanitarian issues listed]. But the media always cut the clip for the desired effect.
 
  • #85
WhoWee said:
If Obama wasn't up to the task (ethics classes would have taught him) he should have disclosed his lack of knowledge - or he could have dropped out of the race. Instead, he and Biden claimed to have all of the answers.

Now you are just posting ideological nonsense.
 
  • #86
Proton Soup said:
in which case the man lacks integrity and is a hypocrite

Dawkins isn't running for President or a leading candidate for the Republican party.
 
  • #87
WhoWee said:
Was it Newt's version or Nixon's version that required personal mandates enforced by a massive expansion of the IRS?

Both had mandates. Nixon's plan had a strict mandate for employers, while Newt has long supported the individual mandate in Obama's plan (read his book Real Change and the section on healthcare.)

Also, how massive an expansion of the IRS? 2%? 3%?
 
  • #88
Ivan Seeking said:
Now you are just posting ideological nonsense.

I supported my comment with then President-elect Obama's website.
 
  • #89
This thread is about the problems with Rick Perry. Let's stay on topic.
 
  • #90
ParticleGrl said:
Name one? Crack a micro-econ book, and see how many examples they give for real world supply curves.

Mattel? (just throwing out a random name). Mattel engages in marketing programs for Barbie, but I mean after a certain point, spending more money results in very few additional people learning about Barbie.

Lets avoid specifically discussing global warming (feel free to message me), but keep this in the context of science. Science works by reducing, testing and modeling. The idea is that, yes, things are really complex, so let's isolate the pieces, test them in a controlled environment, and generalize.

Lets turn to your inflation experiment

You didn't flesh out an actual experiment here. Put money on a table, and apples on a table and nothing happens. You left out the people.

Now, let's say we have 10 people and 10 apples, and everyone has $1, and everyone wants an apple. I imagine the apples will go for $1 each, though I haven't run the experiment.

Now, let's double the supply of money by giving every person $1 more. What is the price of the apples? Probably $2.

Now, let's double the supply of money by giving all $10 to the apple seller. What is the price of the apples? Probably $1

Now, this isn't a real experiment, its a thought experiment (also known as a model). But we did learn something from the model- doubling the supply of money can do different things depending on what you do. By adding a few more layers of complexity, you could probably get a lot of insight out of your apples and dollars game.

What is most interesting is that if you actually run these toy experiments in a lab by playing a game with people, MOST TOY ECONOMIES DON'T FOLLOW STANDARD ECONOMICS PREDICTIONS. See the work of psychologists like Kahneman. People are irrational in predictable ways.

That's what I am saying though, lab experiments for something like economics or the climate are not going to give accurate information about such complex systems.

Actually, it hasn't been massive stimulus, its been paralyzed inaction (which I fault them for, tremendously). Government has been shedding jobs throughout the crisis.

The government enacted a nearly trillion dollar stimulus bill, but that said, some prominent Democrats say the solution is that there hasn't been enough spending, and call for a lot more (such as Paul Krugman for example).

The "obamacare" bill (which has a striking resemblance to both Newt Gingrich's health care bill from the 90s and Nixon's health care bill) is NOT a single payer bill, nor is it government run.

A few points here:

1) The Republicans in the early-to-mid 1990s did have an alternative healthcare plan to Hillarycare that included a mandate to purchase health insurance. But this has never been an idea popular with conservatives or libertarians, it was a Republican party idea and a prime example of when Republican voters talk about how the Republican party leadership has too often deviated from what its principles are supposed to be. Quite a few Republicans were concerned about the existence of the mandate in the Republican plan at the time.

2) Richard Nixon was a member of the Republican party, but he is a man who created the EPA, was for universal healthcare, was for gun control, I mean he wasn't a standard conservative Republican.

3) The bill is not "officially" single-payer, but it is single-payer by proxy, because it puts the government in charge of the health insurance companies, so in a sense it is government-run. The health insurance companies gave up a lot of freedom in exchange for being subsidized. Also, Democrats have longed for a single-payer system for years, they only didn't try to outright nationalize the system because they saw doing so as too complex an operation. Barack Obama stated how he wanted to create a "Medicare for all" during the campaign.

There is no public option. Its a regulated public market.

There's a public option. People are required to either purchase health insurance, or else pay a fine (or tax). If they are too poor to do either, then they are subsidized.

You seem to be suggesting that the legislation that the democrats passed is somehow not their solution to healthcare?

:confused: No, the legislation they passed is their solution to healthcare.

Actually, Dodd-Frank requires large banks to make plans to unwind banks if they become illiquid. This is to avoid the "too-big too-fail" situation and reduce the need for massive bailouts. The idea being to remove the "big government" induced moral hazard.

That's the idea, but there are lots of regulations from the bill that thus far have yet to be written, and there are differing opinions on the bill (http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/08/03/is-dodd-frank-overdue-or-overkill-2-dueling-views/")

Keep in mind that democratic presidents have seen just as much deregulation as republican presidents (Carter lifted the brewing regulations and touched off the microbrew growth in the US,

Yup, he also signed trucking and airlines deregulation. Some think that is partially what sank his presidency because of how the Democratic party saw it at the time.

Clinton massively deregulated finance and passed free trade agreements, etc).

He completed NAFTA (which had been started by Reagan) after being resistant to at first and signed the Financial Services Modernization Act, but this was with a Republican Congress, and the Democratic party did not like Clinton doing this from what I understand.

Cap and trade (which was the republican solution to global warming in the 90s, actually) is not massive government regulation- its market based. You set a cap, and let the private sector figure out how to come in under the cap. The idea is to avoid complicated micro-managed industry-by-industry regulations.

Yes, cap-and-trade is a market-based solution that was conjured up by Republicans, and one that worked fine from my understanding with regards to pollutants such as sulfure dioxide and carbon monoxide and so forth from coal plants. But that's because the technology exists to filter those pollutants out of the carbon emissions. But with regards to the carbon dioxide emissions themselves, there is no way to "filter" or capture those. The only way to reduce CO2 emissions is to burn less coal, which means raising the cost of energy or switching to alternatives. If legitimate alternative sources existed that could be implemented quickly, that might work, but they don't. Solar, wind, geothermal, hydro, nuclear, etc...none are viable alternatives right now. So because of this, cap-and-trade would act as a tax on the economy.

Since the administration couldn't get cap-and-trade through the Congress though, they are seeking to regulate carbon directly through the EPA, which is going to be very difficult for industry.

I would argue the democrat position currently is that "there are sometimes problems that government can solve better than the private sector" and "market failures require the need for some regulations, but its usually best to construct those regulations in a market-oriented way." Its a very centrist party.

Well some Democrats, the kind I like, are like that, but much of the party is a lot more leftwing than that.

Its weird but true that 90s Gingrich would be a democrat today (thought 2011 Gingrich has pulled way right).

In some ways, he would've been.
 
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  • #91
WhoWee said:
I supported my comment with then President-elect Obama's website.

I was talking about your commentary.

No, the economy has not recovered as much as we had hoped. We did avoid a total collapse and a it seems the dreaded double dip. I call that a huge success given the mess he was handed by the Republicans. That we were spiralling out of control when Obama took over is undeniable. As far as I'm concerned, you are just shifting blame and ignoring the facts. The Republicans and conservative principles caused this mess. Don't blame Obama if he can't fix the worst economy since the depression, in three years. It took the Republicans and Clinton twelve years to create the housing crisis. And as you know, I put Reaganomics at the heart of the debt problem. Our debt problem can be traced back directly to the Reagan Admin.
 
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  • #92
No more off topic posts. Let's discuss the topic of Rick Perry's religious affiliations and beliefs. Is someone like Perry a danger to the US? Can he bring anything of value to the presidency, or is he a pawn of organized religion?
 
  • #93
Evo said:
I'm not concerned about shenanigans in politics, I'm concerned about christian fundamentalists taking over our country. Very scary to think we might lose the separation of church and state this country was founded on and have a church run country.

Christian fundamentalists can't take over the country, or they'd have a really hard time doing so. Remember, we have a House, a Senate, and a Presidency, along with a Supreme Court. And separation of church and state is in the Constitution ("Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion...").
 
  • #94
ParticleGrl said:
Both had mandates. Nixon's plan had a strict mandate for employers, while Newt has long supported the individual mandate in Obama's plan (read his book Real Change and the section on healthcare.)

Also, how massive an expansion of the IRS? 2%? 3%?

I suppose it's fair to question 2% or 3% (do you have a source?) - it's doubtful anyone knows the real cost?

As you've described - neither plan (Newt or Nixon) proposed the personal mandate enforced by the IRS - correct? If you disagree - why not post specific support?
*******

I was looking for something else and stumbled back into this story regarding projected costs to business.
http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/healthcare-costs-business-taxes/2010/03/31/id/354413

"Obamacare's Prescription for Disaster: $14 Billion Cost to Industry"
*****
Perhaps a little more relevant to this thread is Perry's assessment of the costs to Texas - my bold.
http://focusdailynews.com/statement-by-gov-rick-perry-on-federal-appeals-court-ruling-on-obamacare-p4543-1.htm
"Texas and 25 other states have challenged the constitutionality of Congress’ authority to force individuals to buy health insurance. This administration continues to spend excessively and impose unfunded mandates upon the states, including this federal health care reform bill that will cost Texas taxpayers more than $27 billion over 10 years for the Medicaid expansion starting in 2014."
 
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  • #95
It seems Perry is being vetted thoroughly on the issue of religion.
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20085641-503544.html
"Will Rick Perry answer the religious right's prayers?"

But again, the longer the left and the media beat this issue into the ground - and the rhetoric of extreme politics (left and right) are the drum beat - and President Obama pushes more spending - if Romney keeps it low key, straight down the middle and maintains the drumbeat of Obama is inexperienced and in over his head - Romney will waltz into the White House as the reasonable and experienced moderate (IMO).
 
  • #96
WhoWee said:
It seems Perry is being vetted thoroughly on the issue of religion.
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20085641-503544.html
"Will Rick Perry answer the religious right's prayers?"

But again, the longer the left and the media beat this issue into the ground - and the rhetoric of extreme politics (left and right) are the drum beat - and President Obama pushes more spending - if Romney keeps it low key, straight down the middle and maintains the drumbeat of Obama is inexperienced and in over his head - Romney will waltz into the White House as the reasonable and experienced moderate (IMO).
Nobody running for high office has been vetted thoroughly WRT to their beliefs. If Perry has been attending church with a pastor that has controversial views, will the Democrats claim that the pastor is his "Spritual Advisor"? The GOP hauled that one out against Obama, but I don't see the Dems pulling that crap on Perry They should be quite willing to address his willful ignorance and populist anti-intelluctualism, though. Dawkins is right, IMO, about the right's embrace of dumbed-down candidates. Our leaders should be the best of the brightest, not the people who can scuff their feet in the dirt and say "aw shucks" like the guy next door.
 
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  • #97
I'd like to strip all of the affiliations away from the candidates and have them all answer the same questions on government, science, and academics. I can think up a great quiz. Of course the winner will be feared by those that can't figure out the answers to the quiz. :frown:

There is no hope for this country.
 
  • #98
Evo said:
I'd like to strip all of the affiliations away from the candidates and have them all answer the same questions on government, science, and academics. I can think up a great quiz. Of course the winner will be feared by those that can't figure out the answers to the quiz. :frown:

There is no hope for this country.
I'd like to propose this question: "What periodicals do you read?" When Katy asks a killer question, she doesn't fool around.
 
  • #99
turbo said:
Nobody running for high office has been vetted thoroughly WRT to their beliefs. If Perry has been attending church with a pastor that has controversial views, will the Democrats claim that the pastor is his "Spritual Advisor"? The GOP hauled that one out against Obama, but I don't see the Dems pulling that crap on Perry They should be quite willing to address his willful ignorance and populist anti-intelluctualism, though. Dawkins is right, IMO, about the right's embrace of dumbed-down candidates. Our leaders should be the best of the brightest, not the people who can scuff their feet in the dirt and say "aw shucks" like the guy next door.

So the Governor of one of the most (the most?) successful states the last few years isn't a good qualifier? A better president is someone with no executive experience and limited legislative experience?

Nearly all of the indictments that have been made against "Perry and the GOP" in this thread have been basically arguements reduced to the absurd or basic anti-religious sentiment. No real empirical evidence of their policy wrongdoings, due to their beliefs, has been demonstrated (despite Perry having years under his belt as a governor). The policy implications of their religious beliefs are minimal, esspecially when the major issues are economic currently. Even though I am not religious in the least, I would still prefer a religious candidate with a proven executive record (esspecially in the current economic crisis) than an inexperienced aethiest.

I echo CAC1001's sentiment that the actual moralistic policy implications of even the most socially conservative President would be minimal because of the checks and balances that exist in our government. The major campaigns against 43 in 2000 and 2004 was his extreme anti-abortion policies that he would destroy women with. What did he do to restrict abortions? What abortion restrictions even became fruit in his terms? (Partial-birth ban had support from all but the most extreme abortion activists) I think the abortion argument is tired and has limited policy implications. It will take overturning Roe v Wade for a president to ban abortion or significant limit their availability. In my mind the abortion arguements, from both sides, are really just to rile their base without any implication on a national policy level.

I think it's also important to note that not all policy decisions are scientific - the relationships that exist in a church setting instill a certain sense of community that I can see the benefit of. I'd rather have the accountability to our President be churchgoers as opposed to the unions and other corrupt special interests. Is a GOP candidate going to make a mandate that all states legalize gay marriage? Absolutely not, but... neither has the 'gay friendly' President Obama. Again, what anti-gay policies did President Bush oversee? Remember that the 'gay' policies (DOMA & DADT) that President Obama overturned via (possibly non-constitutional) non-enforcement rules were Clinton-era policies. So I argue, again, a non-issue (or incredibly overblown) from a policy standpoint.

So, what does matter from a policy standpoint? Actual executive experience, not some ideology that gets overblown. I think that this has been the biggest fault of President Obama, he's been frozen by indecision because (as Romney says) he's in over his head.
 
  • #100
turbo said:
Nobody running for high office has been vetted thoroughly WRT to their beliefs.

Assuming your statement is correct - then Perry will be the first to be vetted for his religious views as evidenced by this CBS article I posted?

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_1...41-503544.html
"Will Rick Perry answer the religious right's prayers?"
 
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