Solving Probability of Process: Sketching Functions & Annual Savings

  • Context: Undergrad 
  • Thread starter Thread starter zaka
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Probability Process
Click For Summary
SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating the probability of paper weight in a manufacturing process and estimating annual savings from a new process. The current process has a standard deviation of 0.01 grams, while the new process improves this to 0.008 grams. To solve the problem, one must assume a normal distribution and define the mean weight for each process to ensure that the probability of producing paper lighter than 1.2 grams does not exceed 1%. The annual savings can be calculated based on the difference in mean weights and the production capacity of 20,000 sheets per minute over a 40-hour work week.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of normal distribution in statistics
  • Knowledge of standard deviation and its implications
  • Ability to calculate probabilities using z-scores
  • Familiarity with cost analysis in manufacturing
NEXT STEPS
  • Learn how to calculate z-scores for normal distribution
  • Research methods for sketching normal distribution functions
  • Explore cost analysis techniques for manufacturing processes
  • Investigate the impact of standard deviation on production quality
USEFUL FOR

This discussion is beneficial for manufacturing engineers, process analysts, and anyone involved in quality control and cost optimization in production environments.

zaka
Messages
3
Reaction score
0
Hi, I'm trying to solve the following question, but unsure how to approach it.

A paper manufacturing process states (in its specifications) that each piece of paper's weight will be less than the nomial weight of 1.2 grams on NO MORE than 1 occasion in 100. Currently, the process produces to any required mean piece of paper weight with a standard deviation of 0.01 grams. A new process is available which makes to a more consistent weight, the standard deviation of weights being 0.008 grams.

Q1) Sketch the functions that model these 2 cases (current and new process).

Both processes can make 20,000 sheets of paper per minute, and will be required to work for a 40 hour week, 50 weeks a year. The price of paper is around £2 per kilogram.

Q2) Find the annual savings made possible by the new process.


For question one, how are the functions stetched? I thought of using normal distribution tables to work out this question by letting Probability(u < 1.2) = 0.01, however nowhere in the question does it state that the process is normally distributed so I think that's wrong (I have no idea how to approach this question as you can tell).

Any help would be much appriciated.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
You can assume a normal distribution. This is the usual procedure in problems like this. The trick is to define the mean weight for each of these processes so that for the given standard deviation the probability of light weight is no more than 1%.

The cost saving will be determined by the difference in mean weight between the processes.
 

Similar threads

Replies
2
Views
2K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
3K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
27K
  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
5K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
2K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
3K
  • · Replies 25 ·
Replies
25
Views
6K
Replies
4
Views
3K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
3K
  • · Replies 16 ·
Replies
16
Views
7K