Statistics with confidence intervals

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves determining the necessary sample size to estimate the true mean porosity of ground samples, which are normally distributed. The context includes the use of confidence intervals and the associated margin of error.

Discussion Character

  • Conceptual clarification, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the interpretation of the phrase "to within 0.25" and its relation to the confidence interval width. There is also a question regarding the nature of confidence intervals and their role in estimating the true mean.

Discussion Status

Clarifications have been provided regarding the margin of error and its relationship to the confidence interval. Participants are exploring the implications of the specified confidence level and the corresponding z-value.

Contextual Notes

There is an assumption that the margin of error is ±0.125 based on the interpretation of the interval width. The discussion also highlights the need to verify the consistency of the z-value with the stated probability.

war485
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Homework Statement



Suppose the porosity (in %) of samples taken from the ground found to be normally distributed with σ = 0.85 %

What sample size is necessary to estimate the true mean porosity to within 0.25
with 99% confidence?

Homework Equations



C.I. = confidence interval = mean +- z*σ*n^(-0.5)
n = (2*z*σ/w)^2
interval width = w
z = 2.575

The Attempt at a Solution



Not really sure what is meant by "... to within 0.25" maybe someone can help clarify this? Is it referring to the confidence interval width? Also, I thought that the confidence intervals do not estimate the true mean. I thought C.I. only estimates whether or not the other samples will have the same mean within the C.I. range.
 
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Usually "to within xxx" refers to the desired margin of error - this would not be the length of the confidence interval, but half the length.

A confidence interval provides a range of values which can be considered "reasonable values" for the true mean (that is highly non-mathematical language, but I think it gets the point across)
 
thanks for clarifying the problem statdad.
 
0.25 is the interval width ("w"), which is the same as error margin. This can be interpreted as ±0.25. Since it was not stated as ±0.25 but as 0.25, they probably meant ±0.125.

The 99% C.I. implies a 0.5% probability under either tail, as statdad suggested. You should verify that your z value is consistent with that probability.
 
Last edited:

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