Stirling's formula probability

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on using Stirling's formula, specifically n! = √(2πn) n^n e^(-n), to estimate the probability that all 50 states are represented in a randomly chosen group of 50 councilmen. The probability is calculated as P = 50!/50^50, which simplifies to P = √(2π50) e^(-50) when applying Stirling's approximation. Participants confirm that this approach is accurate for the given scenario.

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  • Understanding of Stirling's formula for factorial approximation
  • Basic knowledge of probability theory
  • Familiarity with mathematical notation and expressions
  • Concept of random sampling in statistics
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  • Study the derivation and applications of Stirling's formula in probability
  • Explore advanced probability concepts, such as the Law of Large Numbers
  • Learn about combinatorial methods in probability theory
  • Investigate the implications of random sampling on statistical inference
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Mathematicians, statisticians, and anyone interested in probability theory and its applications in real-world scenarios, particularly in random sampling and representation problems.

indigojoker
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Use Stirling's formula, n!=sqrt(2 pi n) n^n e^{-n}, to estimate the probability that all 50 states are represneted in a group of 50 councilmen chosen at random.

I think it should be:

P=\frac{50!}{50^{50}}

So using Stirling's formula, we get:

P=\frac{\sqrt{2 \pi 50} 50^{50} e^{-50}}{50^{50}}
P=\sqrt{2 \pi 50} e^{-50}

is this the correct approach?
 
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indigojoker said:
Use Stirling's formula, n!=sqrt(2 pi n) n^n e^{-n}, to estimate the probability that all 50 states are represneted in a group of 50 councilmen chosen at random.

I think it should be:

P=\frac{50!}{50^{50}}

So using Stirling's formula, we get:

P=\frac{\sqrt{2 \pi 50} 50^{50} e^{-50}}{50^{50}}
P=\sqrt{2 \pi 50} e^{-50}

is this the correct approach?
Presuming each councilman represents one of the 50 states, your work is correct!
 

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