ftr said:
Why do you say that, in what sense it is soft.
Let's suppose that we have a measuring device that starts off in some start state, ##S_0##. It measures an electron's spin along the z-axis, and if it measures spin-up, it makes a transition to the state ##S_{up}##, and if it measures spin-down, it makes a transition to the state ##S_{down}##. Let ##S_{other}## be some third state of the measuring device.
Now, suppose we prepare the electron so that it's in a superposition of spin-up (with amplitude ##\alpha##) and spin-down (with amplitude ##\beta##). We want to compute the probability that the measuring device winds up in state ##S_{other}##.
We can first compute amplitudes, and then square them to get probabilities. Let ##\phi_{up, other}## be the amplitude for the device to transition from state ##S_{up}## to state ##S_{other}##. let ##\phi_{down, other}## be the amplitude to transition from ##S_{down}## to ##S_{other}##. Then the amplitude for the device to end up in state ##S_{other}## is given by:
##\chi_{other} = \alpha \phi_{up, other} + \beta \phi_{\beta, other}##
The probability is the absolute square of the amplitude, so the probability of ending up in state ##S_{other}## is:
##|\chi_{other}|^2 = |\alpha|^2 |\phi_{up, other}|^2 + |\beta|^2 |\phi_{down, other}|^2 + \alpha^* \phi_{up, other}^* \beta \phi_{down, other} + \alpha \phi_{up, other} \beta^* \phi_{down, other}^*##
If we define ##P_{other} = |\chi_{other}|^2##, ##P_{up, other} = |\alpha|^2 |\phi_{up, other}|^2 ##, ##P_{down, other} = |\beta|^2 |\phi_{down, other}|^2## and ##I = \alpha^* \phi_{up, other}^* \beta \phi_{down, other} + \alpha \phi_{up, other} \beta^* \phi_{down, other}^*##, then this becomes:
##P_{other} = P_{up, other} + P_{down, other} + I##
where ##I## is an interference term between the two intermediate possibilities.
This amounts to applying the Born rule only at the end. On the other hand, if we apply the Born rule at the point of measurement, then we get:
##P_{other} = P_{up, other} + P_{down, other}##
(without the ##I##). So saying that the Born rule applies to every measurement gives a different answer for probabilities than if you only apply the Born rule at the end. That's a contradiction, it seems to me.
On the other hand, the difference between the two predictions is the interference term ##I##. Interference terms between macroscopically distinct configurations are practically impossible to measure. It's impossible to calculate, in the first place, and is likely to be completely negligible.
So the contradiction is that there are two different ways to compute a probability, and they give different values. But it's a soft contradiction in the sense that those two different values are neglibly different.