To determine the uncertainty of a probability derived from experimental data, such as 46/234, one must apply the technique of propagation of uncertainty. This method allows for the calculation of uncertainty associated with the probability based on the inherent uncertainty in the experimental data. The discussion emphasizes that even without a specific formula for calculating probability, the uncertainty can still be quantified through proper statistical methods.
PREREQUISITESResearchers, experimental physicists, statisticians, and anyone involved in data analysis who needs to quantify uncertainty in probability measurements.