Morbert
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Equation (56) from this paper is an example of a subsystem's transition matrix divisible at ##t'##. The transition matrix ##\Gamma^\mathcal{S}(t\leftarrow t')## on the left hand side will have the form (as per equation 1)$$\Gamma^\mathcal{S}_{ij}(t\leftarrow t') = p^\mathcal{S}(i,t|j,t')$$In a quasiclassical context, these conditional probabilities encode our quasiclassical expectations, and are how Barandes's formalism recovers quasiclassical physics at the appropriate limit, analogous to the way Everettian quatum mechanics recovers it with quasiclassical, decoherent branches. E.g. The probability that it will rain presently where you are, given there are no clouds where you are, is 0. The earth subsystem will not spontaneously evolve into a configuration where it will in fact immediately start to rain.PeterDonis said:Why will this be the case?
I suspect what Albert is doing is considering the transition matrix of the entire universe modeled as an isolated system, which does not contain any division events, and hence the standalone probability does not constrain any quasiclassical evolution. The mistake here is that standalone probabilities, are epistemic, not dynamical/nomological. It is only the directed conditional probabilities that make up transition matrices that are dynamical.