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Because to calculate the time required to put on shoes and then socks, I have to add the time required to put on shoes to the time required to put on socks.lugita15 said:Again, I don't quite understand what you're saying here, and I don't know why you're associating T_a + T_b with putting on shoes then socks, rather than just the time to put on shoes plus the time to put on socks.
No. T_b is just a fixed number like 5 in the physical situation in which you are only putting on socks. T_b is just a fixed number like 8, in the physical situation in which we are putting on shoes and then socks. T_b in in the first physical situation, is not the same value as T_b in the second physical situation, even though in both cases T_b is still the time it takes to put on socks.T_b is just a fixed number, just like 5. Whether you put it on its own in a statement (with physical significance or not), or whether you put it in a statement (with physical significance or not) which also has T_a in it, doesn't it still retain its value?
What I have been explaining all this while, that the probabilities from the "xyz" scenario are not the same as those in the "w" scenario, so it is not correct to substitute them.I definitely don't disagree with going from P(C|w)= P(A|w)+P(B|w)-2P(AB|w) to P(C|z)= P(A|x)+P(B|y)-2P(AB|w). What do you see wrong with that step?
Nothing strange there at all if you understand degrees of freedom, and probability theory. Like I explained to you using the Bernouli's urn example, the probability of Red on the first draw when considered alone, has a different value from the probability of red on the first draw when considered together with the probability of red on the second draw, already given.This is a rather strange statement. What does it mean for three statements to be true, versus three statement being true simultaneously? Are you operating in some non-classical logic or something?
Because it is assumed that you want to make sound, consistent and valid arguments rather than just sneaking in paradoxes behind the back door.And also, why can't we just sidestep this whole issue, like I did in post #249