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Here is a recent TEDTalk on Free Basic Income
Then get a high paying job. That's the beauty of the BI, it adds up with your income.nsaspook said:I for one welcome our 'Free Basic Income' overlords but I would like a little more than basic income please, Master.
For some people, perhaps. But again, since someone has to pay for it, it subtracts from those people. For someone with "a high paying job", implementing a BI would substantially reduce their net (after tax) income. After implementation, acquiring "a high paying job" when you currently have none will be worth substantially less than without the BI, as you go from being a payee to a payer.Another God said:Then get a high paying job. That's the beauty of the BI, it adds up with your income.
This particular article -- it isn't a news source I've ever heard of. Who is the author? What is the basis for his claims -- such as the title and thesis:A new article on this subject:
Uh, what? Is this guy too big of a Terminator fan? Where did he get this? A lot is apparently bloggers quoting bloggers, which imo leads to a self-reinforcing crackpot counter-culture (like climate change deniers or 9/11 truthers):How Universal Basic Income Will Save Us From the Robot Uprising...
Given the ever-increasing concentration of wealth and the frightening prospect of technological unemployment, it will be required to prevent complete social and economic collapse. It's not a question of if, but how soon.
That's a quote of a quote originating from Marshall Brain, founder of Ask.com. Frankly, such bad analysis from a successful entrepreneur is unforgivable. He even linked the actual stats to show how wrong he is! The combined forces of womens' lib and the coming of age of the Baby Boomers in the 1960s caused forty years of increasing workforce participation -- though the increase was not actually that big: from about 58% to 67%. Since the recession and with the retirement of the Baby Boomers and with increasing life expectancies, it has started falling again.Another interesting fact about the United States is that a surprisingly large portion of working age adults are not working, primarily because there are too few jobs to go around. This may not be obvious, because the declared unemployment rate in the United States seems low, at consistently less than 10% over a long period of time. The problem is that the official unemployment rate hides the huge number of working-age Americans who are no longer considered a part of the workforce. Currently, only 63% of working-age adults are actually working.
But again, since someone has to pay for it, it subtracts from those people.
That is pure conjecture. The reality of the situation very much depends on how the BI is funded, and many suggestions don't involve changing income tax at all. Also, what most people would consider 'High Income' is not really the target, but rather the people with excessively large incomes, and more importantly, corporations with excessively large profits.But again, since someone has to pay for it, it subtracts from those people.
Also completely untrue. A person acquiring the high paying job would still be a payee - that is part of the charm. And again, high paid people already pay more tax - this is universally accepted in all modern progressive productive societies, and only political extremists challenge the idea.After implementation, acquiring "a high paying job" when you currently have none will be worth substantially less than without the BI, as you go from being a payee to a payer.
Since he previously said that part of the motivation for this is wealth redistribution, this is a terrible way to find it because it redistributes the wealth in the opposite direction from what he wants!Futurist Mark Walker says we could pay for it all by slapping down a 14% VAT (value-added tax) across all goods and services, which in the U.S. would yield a guaranteed income of $10,000. It would be a start, but clearly not enough.
I understand all of that. That isn't the problem, this is:Another God said:But that is how functional societies work. The people who have more than they need are taxed and that tax is spent to ensure every has basics provided to them. The current system already does that, and has done so for hundreds of years.
No. This system claims to give everyone money. It is, at face value, an impossible claim.This proposal is no different in that regard at all. The only change here is that this system is claiming to be more efficient, more effective and more equal.
Right. That's part of the problem here: the ideas are so jumbled/unfocused/non-specific/lacking in details that we are forced to conjecture/guess about how they might work. But there are certainly fundamental mathematical and physical realities that must be true. Most critical here is:That is pure conjecture...I would guess...
We've had many previous discussions about how far into oblivion we would have to tax the rich to achieve some goal (balancing the budget, bringing social security back into the black, etc.). Most proponents of that simply don't have any idea how little money that will actually bring in because of how few super-rich there actually are. Because I'm not sure I can find the stats as easily on the 0.1%, let's use the whole 1%:The reality of the situation very much depends on how the BI is funded, and many suggestions don't involve changing income tax at all. Also, what most people would consider 'High Income' is not really the target, but rather the people with excessively large incomes, and more importantly, corporations with excessively large profits.
I would guess 99% of the population would be net better off with a BI, and 0.9% would be essentially unaffected at all, and 0.1% would feel something - but don't worry about that 0.1%, they probably won't starve.
You're just guessing again. When it comes to the normal income tax in the US, about half of American households pay it and half don't. That balancing point can't move up and still support a vast increase in tax revenue, as BI proponents propose. The middle class would have to remain payers.Also completely untrue. A person acquiring the high paying job would still be a payee - that is part of the charm. And again, high paid people already pay more tax...
This must be an intentionally obtuse comment. Of course some people are losing more money than they gain - there is no obfuscation of this fact. The point is that at the end of the day, *everyone* gets given the same basic income (regardless of all other taxes in effect).russ_watters said:This system claims to give everyone money. It is, at face value, an impossible claim.
...
So when a thesis statement starts with "Everyone in society receives...", you may as well stop reading there because everything that comes after it is mathematically impossible.
That is simply because no one has run the experiment yet. The idea that we can accurately know which exact version of it will work the best without real world application is absurd. We need to implement something, then course correct. Like we do with everything we do in life, society and business.russ_watters said:Right. That's part of the problem here: the ideas are so jumbled/unfocused/non-specific/lacking in details that we are forced to conjecture/guess about how they might work.
Why are you just limiting it to individuals? I would think that the corporations would be where most of the money is.russ_watters said:We've had many previous discussions about how far into oblivion we would have to tax the rich to achieve some goal (balancing the budget, bringing social security back into the black, etc.). Most proponents of that simply don't have any idea how little money that will actually bring in because of how few super-rich there actually are. Because I'm not sure I can find the stats as easily on the 0.1%, let's use the whole 1%
Average income: $717,000
Another God said:Then get a high paying job. That's the beauty of the BI, it adds up with your income.
A new article on this subject: http://io9.com/how-universal-basic-income-will-save-us-from-the-robot-1653303459
Handing a person a check with one hand and taking a check from them with the other is a silly game. It most certainly is wrong/an obfuscation to say "everyone" is getting money if in the net, not "everyone" is and to say that the money still gets added to a "higher paying job" when it may or may not depending on where the undefined cutoff is. And indeed, your post is the first I've seen in any article or discussion of a suggested dividing line between who actually gives and who gets -- so if no dividing line is given, it is indeed an obfuscation when the only thing we're told about who gets it is that "everyone" gets it! The guy in the TED talk goes one step even worse by saying "everyone" should get it and then providing an implementation cost estimate that was based on giving it only to a small fraction of the population.Another God said:This must be an intentionally obtuse comment. Of course some people are losing more money than they gain - there is no obfuscation of this fact. The point is that at the end of the day, *everyone* gets given the same basic income (regardless of all other taxes in effect).
You need to back-up a step: before you can run an experiment, you have to devise the experiment. Don't you think it is absurd and irresponsible to support a plan that hasn't even been devised yet, much less tested? It's like with Obamacare: don't read it, just vote for it! It'll be great, I promise!That is simply because no one has run the experiment yet. The idea that we can accurately know which exact version of it will work the best without real world application is absurd.
Nonsense. In business and life, people plan. Indeed, in order to implement "something", that "something" first has to be written down. At least then, we'll know what it is that is being planned! (assuming we are allowed to read the plan before voting on it)We need to implement something, then course correct. Like we do with everything we do in life, society and business.
You're guessing again. The US corporate tax rate is the highest in the developed world, at 15-35% on profits of about $1.5 trillion. Most companies pay close to the 15% low end.Why are you just limiting it to individuals? I would think that the corporations would be where most of the money is.
Sure, you could take wealth/savings as well, but of course you could only do that once since once you take it, you can't take it again (once you take it from them, they no longer have it to give to you in year 2!). I wonder what wealth level you'd pick as your cutoff? $100,000? $1,000,000? Careful: if you go too low, you'll need to create a new retirement income program as well, since you'll be taking the retirement savings from ordinary Americans (who already can't count on Social Security).And why limit it to just the income?
Yes seizing wealth is short-sited. But also, seizing property is theft, if done for no other reason than the fact that the target has some and the mob wants it.russ_watters said:Sure, you could take wealth/savings as well, but of course you could only do that once since once you take it, you can't take it again
Nassim Taleb called TED a "monstrosity that turns scientists and thinkers into low-level entertainers, like circus performers." He claimed TED curators did not initially post his talk "warning about the financial crisis" on their website on purely cosmetic grounds.[80]
Nick Hanauer spoke at TED University, analysing the top rate of tax versus unemployment and economic equality.[81] TED was accused of censoring the talk by not posting the talk on its website.[82][83] The National Journal reported Chris Anderson had reacted by saying the talk probably ranked as one of the most politically controversial talks they'd ever run, and that they need to be really careful when to post it.[82] Anderson officially responded indicating that TED only posts one talk every day, selected from many.[84] Forbes staff writer Bruce Upbin described Hanauer's talk as "shoddy and dumb"[85] while New York magazine condemned the conference's move.[86]
According to UC San Diego Professor Benjamin Bratton, TED talks efforts at fostering progress in socio-economics, science, philosophy and technology have been ineffective.
TED events are also held throughout North America and in Europe and Asia, offering live streaming of the talks. They address a wide range of topics within the research and practice of science and culture, often through [b[storytelling.[/b][10] The speakers are given a maximum of 18 minutes to present their ideas in the most innovative and engaging ways they can
...I think I already did that, no?Evo said:Can I say that the Ted talk was stupid and unrealistic?
Or is pointing out the obvious problems not ok? And no, I don't want to debate it, I think it's assinine. That's all. Just IMO. This person didn't do *due dilgence* to check if his idea was even feasible, which it's not, IMO.
GMTA :)russ_watters said:...I think I already did that, no?
Evo said:GMTA :)
I did pick crops on my aunt's farm as a child.OmCheeto said:Sometimes.
Other times, they have differing opinions.
This idea is a bit "out there", but I think it needs more discussion.
Btw, did you have to pick crops when you were 9?
I think it matters, from where you came, as to what is, and is not, a viable solution.
Me too, on my grandparents' farm...not that I see how this is relevant though...Evo said:I did pick crops on my aunt's farm as a child.
IMO it is irresponsible to release "out there" ideas onto the public from a forum that looks like it is supposed to have credibility. It causes people to believe the ideas are already well developed and credible. That's a good way to generate scams and give wings to bad ideas.OmCheeto said:This idea is a bit "out there", but I think it needs more discussion.
Oy, no. I cannot disagree more strongly. "Viable" is, for the most part, not a judgement call at all, it is a measurement (or calculation/prediction) of objective success or failure. If a business profits it is viable and if it doesn't profit, it is not viable. If this idea can "function" insofar as it is capable of collecting enough money to be self-sustaining and doesn't cause a collapse in society due to millions of people losing their jobs, that would be "viable".I think it matters, from where you came, as to what is, and is not, a viable solution.
Or not:Greg Bernhardt said:Switzerland May Give Every Citizen $2,600 a Month
So it wouldn't give everyone $2,600 a month unless everyone in the country immediatly quit their jobs after it is implemented!The proposed plan would guarantee a monthly income of CHF 2,500, or about $2,600
So money is the only incentive to have a job? I've also had many volunteer jobs that didn't pay me dime, but I was very productive.mheslep said:incentive for anyone who can't earn any more than that amount is not to have a paying job
C'mon Greg, that's naive. Money is the primary incentive to have a job and you can't volunteer as a hobby unless you already have a paying job that pays you enough (or are independently wealthy) while providing enough free time to volunteer as a hobby. If people volunteered to work at McDonalds for free, McDonalds would be all over that. This law, if implemented, would eliminate most of their workforce -- garbage collectors and janitors too. Zoos and aquariums would boom though.Greg Bernhardt said:So money is the only incentive to have a job? I've also had many volunteer jobs that didn't pay me dime, but I was very productive.
I think it would be interesting to discuss what happens to people when money is not a major motivator and people are more able to actually do what they want to do.russ_watters said:Money is the primary incentive to have a job
They can if they are already given a "living" wage.russ_watters said:can't volunteer as a hobby unless you already have a paying job that pays you enough
russ_watters said:If people volunteered to work at McDonalds for free, McDonalds would be all over that. This law, if implemented, would eliminate most of their workforce -- garbage collectors and janitors too.
I'm a big fan of Star Trek, but we are a long way from that level of technology and even as utopian visions go, the no-money Star Trek system is very undeveloped. It is interesting, but I see it as highly speculative science fiction, not a basis for economic policy in the real world today.Greg Bernhardt said:I think it would be interesting to discuss what happens to people when money is not a major motivator and people are more able to actually do what they want to do.
This is an interesting video
They can if they are already given a "living" wage.
That's what the robotic revolution is for. ;)
Greg Bernhardt said:Some mentally ill can get cheap housing and social security checks. They just need someone to help them figure it out and apply.
Greg Bernhardt said:So money is the only incentive to have a job? I've also had many volunteer jobs that didn't pay me dime, but I was very productive.
Another reason is that the high CEO income is often long in arriving, short, and unstable. That is, the typical CEO gets the big chair at ~52, burns out or is pushed out at ~57. Yes a successful retiring CEO might get some cozy board of directors seats, but for those that were pushed out, well, there are no former-CEO job fairs, so they better have gotten their ticket-to-ride while on top.russ_watters said:So why do CEO jobs pay well? Because the pool of qualified CEOs is small.
mheslep said:As mentioned earlier, proposals that deal with the possibility of negative incentives came out decades ago.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_income_tax
They also found an unexpected result: instead of promoting family stability (the presumed result of extending benefits to two-parent working families on an equal basis), the NITs seemed to increase family breakup.[17]
nsaspook said:This is the effect that worries me more than just people not working. The loss of low income family stability.
How well did she pay?Evo said:I did pick crops on my aunt's farm as a child.
I got to eat some of what I picked, only the workers on the picking machines got paid. But it was so much fun going out into the fields and working that I wouldn't have dreamed of asking to be paid. I always wanted to own a farm, not a huge farm like hers, but just a small family farm. (End of OT sidetrack)OmCheeto said:How well did she pay?
I ate all of my profits that year.Evo said:I got to eat some of what I picked
So, how did you make money then?, only the workers on the picking machines got paid.
You sound like Greg now.,
But it was so much fun going out into the fields and working that I wouldn't have dreamed of asking to be paid.
There is no OT/ST in this thread. (IMHO),
I always wanted to own a farm, not a huge farm like hers, but just a small family farm. (End of OT sidetrack)
Evo said:I didn't make money, I worked on the farm for the fun of it. During the summer when I was there, I stayed at her house and ate her food, I certainly didn't expect to be paid for having fun, I had to beg to be allowed to work.
"The money gets paid to all, no matter how much they earn elsewhere or what they do."Es wird also grundsätzlich an alle gezahlt, ohne Ansehen sonstiger Einkünfte und Tätigkeiten.
Evo said:I had to beg to be allowed to work.
I got paid for working on my grandparents farm when I was a kid. My parents would dump me and my sister while they went on vacation. After subtracting room and board, my very first paycheck I ever got was $7.Evo said:I didn't make money, I worked on the farm for the fun of it. During the summer when I was there, I stayed at her house and ate her food, I certainly didn't expect to be paid for having fun, I had to beg to be allowed to work.
I suppose it would depend on where you draw your line/frame the question. If it is a question of +- a few thousand dollars, one can pick other motivations. But versus having no job, the money is by far the biggest issue.Pythagorean said:I would agree with Greg; money is not the primary incentive for me. Doing something meaningful is. Money is, however, a necessary condition (if insufficient) as far as it is needed to survive.
RonL said:Hmmmm!:)
http://www.economist.com/news/unite...makes-native-americans-poorer-slots-and-slothYes, I know small sample and correlation instead of causative relationship. Nevertheless...But the biggest problem may be the way casino profits are sometimes disbursed. Per capita payments have grown as gaming revenues have risen. “These payments can be destructive because the more generous they become, the more people fall into the trap of not working,” says Ron Whitener, a law professor, tribal judge and a member of the Squaxin Island Tribe in Washington state. Of the 17 tribes in the study that handed casino profits directly to members, ten saw their poverty rates rise. Of the seven tribes that did not, only two saw such an increase (see chart).Per capita payments range from as little as a few hundred dollars a year to more than $100,000. In some tribes, members receive 18 years of per capita payments in a lump sum when they turn 18. “There are a lot of very successful car dealerships around reservations that make their money off 18-year- old,” adds Mr Whitener. -
One very small tribe in the study, Jamestown S’Klallam in northern Washington, has eliminated poverty entirely. That tribe does not issue any per capita payments and has used its casino profits to diversify into other businesses, such as harvesting huge molluscs for export to China. Squaxin Island, which reduced its poverty rate from 31.4% in 2000 to 12.4% in 2010, used casino profits to get into cigarette manufacturing about ten years ago. Leaders of the Siletz tribe, by contrast, allot 40% of the casino’s net revenues to per capita payments and only 17% towards economic development. Of the tribes surveyed, the Siletz has one of the highest poverty rates.