What happens first -- Sun Red Giant or Andromeda collision?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the timeline of the Sun becoming a red giant versus the collision of the Andromeda galaxy with the Milky Way. It is established that the Earth will become uninhabitable due to extreme heat approximately 3.75 billion years from now, long before the galaxies collide. Current predictions indicate a 50% chance that the Solar System will be displaced to a greater distance from the galactic core post-collision, with a 12% chance of being ejected entirely. The increasing luminosity of the Sun, expected to rise by 35-40%, will render Earth incapable of supporting liquid water, thus ending all terrestrial life.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of stellar evolution, particularly the red giant phase of stars.
  • Familiarity with galactic dynamics and collision events.
  • Knowledge of solar luminosity and its effects on planetary habitability.
  • Basic comprehension of astronomical time scales and distances.
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the effects of solar luminosity on planetary atmospheres and habitability.
  • Explore the dynamics of galaxy collisions, focusing on the Milky Way and Andromeda interaction.
  • Study the predictions of stellar evolution and the life cycle of the Sun.
  • Investigate the potential outcomes for the Solar System during galactic mergers.
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Astronomers, astrophysicists, and anyone interested in the long-term fate of the Solar System and the implications of galactic collisions on planetary systems.

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What happens first Sun Red Giant or Andromeda collision?
 
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This is difficult to answer because neither has a timestamp. The collision is more diffusion, and long before the sun becomes actually a red giant, it is way too hot for life on earth. So what should we take as time: first stars of two galaxies are closer than how many lightyears, and sun swallows Mercury?
 
By chance, there is a section in Wikipedia that directly addresses your question. It seems that the bottom line is "by the time the two galaxies collide, the surface of the Earth will have already become far too hot for liquid water to exist, ending all terrestrial life; that is currently estimated to occur in about 3.75 billion years "

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andromeda–Milky_Way_collision

Fate of the Solar System[edit]​

See also: Formation and evolution of the Solar System § Galactic collision and planetary disruption
Two scientists with the Harvard–Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics stated that when, and even whether, the two galaxies collide will depend on Andromeda's transverse velocity.[3] Based on current calculations they predict a 50% chance that in a merged galaxy, the Solar System will be swept out three times farther from the galactic core than its current distance.[3] They also predict a 12% chance that the Solar System will be ejected from the new galaxy sometime during the collision.[15][16] Such an event would have no adverse effect on the system and the chances of any sort of disturbance to the Sun or planets themselves may be remote.[15][16]

Excluding planetary engineering, by the time the two galaxies collide, the surface of the Earth will have already become far too hot for liquid water to exist, ending all terrestrial life; that is currently estimated to occur in about 3.75 billion years due to gradually increasing luminosity of the Sun (it will have risen by 35–40% above its current luminosity).[17][18]
 
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anorlunda said:
By chance, there is a section in Wikipedia that directly addresses your question. It seems that the bottom line is "by the time the two galaxies collide, the surface of the Earth will have already become far too hot for liquid water to exist, ending all terrestrial life; that is currently estimated to occur in about 3.75 billion years "
I've seen an astronomer on tv last night who said that the oceans will be vaporized in about 1 billion years from now. However, it was a rather informal remark, not an exact calculation.
 
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