xxChrisxx said:
You raise valid points. If you've read all my posts I've said you should not blindly eccept what people tell you. Checks and balances should be done, anyone found to be dishonest should be strung up by their nutsack.
However two scientists from different backgrounds both look at the same data, and come to different conclusions, (after checks that nothing malicious or unintentional errors have been makde on both sides) Who's conclusion do you trust?
Whose conclusion do I trust? Maybe neither. If both are looking at the same data, and yet reach different conclusions, then
at least one of them is wrong.
xxChrisxx said:
It's most sensible to trust the conclusion of the person who is the most expert in the field.
This is generally true, but not always. Galileo comes to mind as someone who wasn't willing to accept on blind faith the experts in the field of astronomy.
xxChrisxx said:
At some point along the line, you have to just accept something and trust someone. Otherwise it becomes impractical to do anything new. This is what the process of peer review is for, to make sure people aren't getting dishonest/poor material through. It also allows a forum that corrections can be made for erroneous data. There was a correction paper to Michael Mann et al's work.
I'm aware of the correction to Mann's work, which likely wouldn't have happened without the interloping by McKitrick and McIntyre, who you would probably call non-experts, being merely a mathematician and economist.
I agree on the purpose of peer review, but with a field so heavily politicized as climate studies, we are starting to see some evidence of pressuring journals to not publish papers that don't go along with the current received wisdom - I'm referring to comments by Phil Jones, erstwhile director of CRU East Anglia. And no, I don't believe his comments were "taken out of context."
xxChrisxx said:
You are making it sound like a conspiricy. That they are out do be on the gravy train and nothing else. Some may be, but 97% of climate scientists are unlikely to be ALL dishonest and trying to dupe the ENTIRE world. It's a massive amount of people to keep hushed up purely to get some research money.
First off, I don't believe your figure of 97%. Can you justify it for me? Second, if your livelihood comes from getting grant money to keep working, there are a lot of people whose (BTW who's is a contraction of who is) moral scruples might be strong, but not quite strong enough to take the place of a steady paycheck. It has happened before - Trofim Lysenko, director of Soviet biology under Stalin. Lysenko rejected Mendelian genetics. How many Soviet biologists were willing to call BS?
When the director of what is probably the dominant climate research facility for IPCC reports talks about exerting pressure on journals to freeze out researchers with contrary opinions, and marginalizing "nonbelievers" by calling them "deniers" in a not-so-subtle attempt to equate them with Holocaust deniers, that
does start to sound like a conspiracy to me. Add to that the destruction of data underlying papers, the refusal to release data three years after FoI requests, and fudging the data, including a case where James Hansen at NASA GISS replaced an entire set of October temp data with the data from September to show how hot it was getting.