J O Linton said:
I doubt if anyone has seriously tried to reconcile the observations with the linear model. The reason for this is, of course, that there are good theoretical reasons why the expansion cannot be linear because a linear universe is theoretically empty - which our universe patently is not!
It's not just theoretical reasons. There are direct observables that can't be reconciled with the linear model. Most obviously the shape of the Hubble diagram (e.g. see Reiss' work, past and current). As one looks towards higher z's the shape of the curve will be different, depending on the value of the second derivative of ##a## (in particular, it will curve in opposite directions during acceleration/deceleration phases).
That's what first prompted the inclusion of Lambda into the model. And if you think about it, it couldn't have come from what you call theoretical reasons, as with matter - we can look around us and see that the universe is not empty, and decide that only models with matter in it should be considered; but the cosmological constant is not conspicuously advertising its existence, so there's no a priori reason to favour models with it over those without. Its inclusion in the model must come from observations of how the expansion unfolds over time.
Now, it's true that you can approximate a curve that slopes one way for about half it's length and the other way for the other half, as a line. This is contingent on not looking too closely and being fortunate enough to find oneself at the cosmic time when the two opposing contributions are about equal.
But you're doing more than that here - you're assuming the approximation will hold just as well in the future, which is what you're doing when you're making deductions about actual horizons.
If you forgive me a hyperbolic analogy, it's like acknowledging that the Earth being flat is a good local approximation, and - even though one is aware that the approximation diverges the farther (or closer) one looks, use the flat Earth model to make deductions about the entire planet.
J O Linton said:
A linear universe has an infinite particle and an infinite event horizon. I believe I am right in saying that the ##\Lambda CDM## universe has an infinite particle horizon but a finite event horizon - i.e we can see all of the past universe but may not be able to communicate with all of the future universe.
It is not correct. Yes, the particle horizon in the LCDM universe extends to infinity in terms of proper distance, but it's finite in terms of comoving distance. Which means there is a finite number of galaxies whose past states we can ever observe. Which is another way of saying that there exists an event horizon - the EH limits not only what galaxies you can send a signal to, but also what galaxies can send a signal to you.
This is different in a linear universe, where you can get to see all the galaxies, even at infinite distance, if you just wait long enough.