What is the Probability of Selecting at Least One Odd Numbered Ball?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the probability of selecting at least one odd-numbered ball from a set of balls numbered 1 through 8, during an experiment that involves randomly selecting 3 balls without replacement. The scope includes mathematical reasoning and homework-related problem-solving.

Discussion Character

  • Homework-related
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant describes their approach to the problem, noting they calculated the total number of outcomes as 336 by multiplying 8 x 7 x 6.
  • The same participant attempted to find the probability of selecting at least one odd ball by removing even numbers from the outcomes, leading to a calculation of 4 x 3 x 2 for odd balls.
  • Another participant suggests that the probability of selecting at least one odd ball can be found using the complement of selecting only even balls, providing a formula that includes the number of combinations with only even balls.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants have not reached a consensus on the correct method to solve the problem, and multiple approaches are presented without agreement on which is correct.

Contextual Notes

There are unresolved assumptions regarding the interpretation of the problem, and the calculations presented may depend on the understanding of probability concepts such as complementary events.

elimeli
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The final question in my homework says:

Assume the balls in the box are numbered 1 through 8, and that an experiment consists of randomly selecting 3 balls one after another without replacement. What probability should be assigned to the event that at least one ball has an odd number?

I have tried several approaches to the problem but they are all wrong :( Can somebody explain how to solve this?
 
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Hi elimeli. Are you willing to post your work and indicate where you may have had errors/misunderstandings?
 
greg1313 said:
Hi elimeli. Are you willing to post your work and indicate where you may have had errors/misunderstandings?

Since there are 336 outcomes, which I got by multiplying 8 x 7 x 6, that means that each outcome is assigned a probability of 1/336. Since they were asking for balls with odd numbers, I "removed" the even numbers from the original set of outcomes, so that it would be 4 x 3 x 2. So I assumed that at least one odd ball would be 4 x 3 x 2/8 x 7 x 6. However, that was not the answer. My other assumptions were guesses.
 
elimeli said:
Since there are 336 outcomes, which I got by multiplying 8 x 7 x 6, that means that each outcome is assigned a probability of 1/336. Since they were asking for balls with odd numbers, I "removed" the even numbers from the original set of outcomes, so that it would be 4 x 3 x 2. So I assumed that at least one odd ball would be 4 x 3 x 2/8 x 7 x 6. However, that was not the answer. My other assumptions were guesses.

Hi elimeli,

You've found the probability to find only even balls.
The probability to find at least one odd ball is the complement.
That is:
$$P(\text{at least one odd}) = 1 - P(\text{only even}) = 1 - \frac{\text{# combinations with only even}}{\text{# total}} = 1 - \frac{4 \cdot 3 \cdot 2}{8 \cdot 7 \cdot 6}$$
 

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