What is the probability that a customer orders red wine if they order beef?

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating probabilities related to customer orders of red wine and beef, based on given probabilities and conditional relationships. The subject area includes probability theory and conditional probability.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss various methods for calculating probabilities, including multiplication and addition of probabilities, and the implications of independence. Questions arise regarding the interpretation of given probabilities and the correct approach to part c).

Discussion Status

Some participants have provided feedback on the accuracy of the original poster's calculations, particularly regarding part c). There is an ongoing exploration of how to approach the problem, with suggestions to consider conditional probabilities and the relationships between the events.

Contextual Notes

Participants are questioning the independence of events and the implications of the information provided in the problem statement. There is a focus on understanding whether the events are disjoint and how that affects the calculations.

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Homework Statement


Wanda was a waitress in Waves, a dining room of the Titanic. During the voyage she determined the probability that a customer ordered red wine was 0.65, and the probability that they ordered beef was 0.50. Given that they ordered red wine, the probability they ordered beef was 0.75.

a.) What is the probability that a customer orders beef and red wine?

b.) What is the probability that a customer orders beef or red wine?

c.) What is the probability that a customer orders red wine if they order beef?

d.) Are the events "orders beef" and "orders red wine" disjoint?
Give answer as yes, no, or can't tell.

e.) What is the probability that a customer orders neither red wine nor beef?


Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution


Well, the thing that's getting me is the the last sentence in the paragraph of the original information given. Is that meant to throw me off in any way? Which of these questions does it apply to?

For part a) I multiplied 0.65 by 0.5 to get my answer of 0.33.

For part b) I added the probability of getting red wine to the probability of getting beef and then subtracted the probability of getting both (my answer in a)) to get 0.82.

For part c) I am completely unsure as of where to even start.

For part d) I answered no, since they have no common elements influencing one another.

For part e) I did 1-(my answer in b) which is 0.82) to get 0.18

Could someone please help me with c) and verify my answers in the other parts please? Any help would be GREATLY appreciated
 
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Everything apart from c) seems correct. Concerning c), do you know how to compute conditional probabilities?
 
You can only multiply probabilities to compute things like that if you know the two choices are independent of each other. In this case there is NO reason to believe that. Suppose the wine choices are Red and White, and the food choices are Beef and Fish. That gives you four cases RB, RF, WB, WF. You know the sum of them is 1.0. The other facts you are given let you write down three other equations, for a total of four equations in four unknowns. You can solve for all of the variables. What are the equations?
 
So Dick, are you saying that my answers are incorrect and I have to compute them another way? I.E. they are disjoint?
 
Yes, they are. Reread my post for how to do it.
 

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