bhobba
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microsansfil said:Here a critique of Popper's interpretation of quantum mechanics and the claim that the propensity interpretation of probability resolves the foundational problems of the theory
Without even reading it, its fairly obvious calling probability propensity, plausibility or any other words you can think of, will not change anything.
What probability is, is defined by the Kolmogorov axioms.
The rest is simply philosophical waffle IMHO.
Those axioms all by themselves are enough, via the law of large numbers, to show Ballintines ensembles conceptually exist, which is all that required to justify his interpretation.
If you think of probability as some kind of plausibility then you get something like Copenhagen - although the law of large numbers still applies and you can also conceptually define ensembles if you wish.
I sometimes say guys with a background in applied math like me and philosophers sometimes talk past one another.
Here's an example from Rub's paper:
'The propensity interpretation may be understood as a generalization of the classical interpretation. Popper drops the restriction to "equally possible cases," assigning "weights" to the possibilities as "measures of the propensity, or tendency, of a possibility to realize itself upon repetition." He distinguishes probability statements from statistical statements. Probability statements refer to frequencies in virtual (infinite) sequences of well-defined experiments, and statistical statements refer to frequencies in actual (finite) sequences of experiments. Thus, the weights assigned to the possibilities are measures of conjectural virtual frequencies to be tested by actual statistical frequencies: "In proposing he propensity interpretation I propose to look upon probability statements as statements about some measure of a property (a physical property, comparable to symmetry or asymmetry) of the whole experimental arrangement; a measure, more precisely, of a virtual frequency'
My view is just like Fellers:
'We shall no more attempt to explain the true meaning of probability than the modern physicist dwells on the real meaning of the mass and energy or the geometer discusses the nature of a point. instead we shall prove theorem's and show how they are applied'
Conceptual infinite ensembles are easily handled by simply assuming there is a very small probability below which it is indistinguishable in practical terms from zero. If you do that the law of large numbers leads to large, but finite ensembles.
For example we know there is a very small probability all the atoms in a room will go in the same direction at once and levitate a chair into the air - but in practice it never happens - we can safely assumes probabilities that small can be neglected - just like in calculus at an applied level we often think of dx as a small increment in x such that dx^2 can be ignored.
That's why guys with my background and those with a philosophical bent sometimes talk past each other.
Thanks
Bill
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