Winning and losing distributions

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around the concept of winning and losing distributions in a gambling context, specifically focusing on normal distribution functions related to patrons' win rates at a casino.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants explore the possibility of defining a normal distribution for losing outcomes and question the parameters of the distribution. There are attempts to clarify the meaning of "losing" in terms of probabilities and to understand the relationship between winning and losing distributions.

Discussion Status

Participants are actively questioning the completeness of the problem statement and discussing the necessary calculations for determining losing probabilities. Some guidance is offered regarding the interpretation of winning and losing amounts, but no consensus has been reached on the specific calculations or distributions needed.

Contextual Notes

There are indications that part of the problem may be missing, leading to uncertainty about the required calculations. Participants are also discussing the conversion of win/loss amounts to a decimal fraction as part of the problem's requirements.

kfulton
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Homework Statement
Given the following information about the patrons' win rate at the casino, determine the ensuing probabilities.
Relevant Equations
Normal distribution on Calculator = Normalcdf
I started by trying to write a normal distribution function for losing and not sure if that is possible.
Screenshot 2021-11-03 112815.png
 
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Would the losing distribution be (-97.5%,70%)?
 
kfulton said:
Homework Statement:: Given the following information about the patrons' win rate at the casino, determine the ensuing probabilities.
Relevant Equations:: Normal distribution on Calculator = Normalcdf

I started by trying to write a normal distribution function for losing and not sure if that is possible.
View attachment 291684

Part oif the question appears to be missing. What probabilities is it asking you to calculate?

"Losing" menas winning less than $0.
 
pasmith said:
Part oif the question appears to be missing. What probabilities is it asking you to calculate?

"Losing" menas winning less than $0.
Here is the rest of the problem, but not sure where the percentages of the winning came from to even think about the losing.
Screenshot 2021-11-03 130748.png
 
The amount won is distributed as stated in the question: N(-0.25, 0.3). This is expressed as a fraction of the amount staked, which is why the question says to convert the win/loss amounts to a decimal fraction.
 
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I understand that part, but for part 1, won't I need the losing distribution? If not do I get do 700/1000 - 2.5 divided by 30 and figure out the percent lower than that for the answer?
 
The probability of losing $x is the probability of winning -$x.
 
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That makes sense. So you part 1 I will find the probability of winning 700 and then my answer will be the opposite sign of what I get out?
 
I think it might help to just start by rephrasing the distribution. The patrons winnings are a normal distribution center at how many dollars, and with how many dollars standard deviation?
 
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