Winning and losing distributions

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on calculating the losing distribution in a casino context, specifically using a normal distribution function. The patrons' winnings are described by a normal distribution, N(-0.25, 0.3), indicating a mean of -0.25 and a standard deviation of 0.3. The participants clarify that "losing" refers to winning less than $0, and they explore how to derive probabilities related to losses based on the given winning distribution. The conversation emphasizes the need to convert win/loss amounts into decimal fractions for accurate calculations.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of normal distribution functions
  • Familiarity with the Normalcdf function on calculators
  • Basic probability concepts related to winning and losing
  • Ability to convert win/loss amounts to decimal fractions
NEXT STEPS
  • Research how to calculate probabilities using the Normalcdf function
  • Learn about the properties of normal distributions, including mean and standard deviation
  • Study methods for converting win/loss amounts into decimal fractions
  • Explore advanced probability topics, such as cumulative distribution functions
USEFUL FOR

Mathematicians, statisticians, casino analysts, and anyone interested in probability calculations related to gambling and normal distributions.

kfulton
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Homework Statement
Given the following information about the patrons' win rate at the casino, determine the ensuing probabilities.
Relevant Equations
Normal distribution on Calculator = Normalcdf
I started by trying to write a normal distribution function for losing and not sure if that is possible.
Screenshot 2021-11-03 112815.png
 
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Would the losing distribution be (-97.5%,70%)?
 
kfulton said:
Homework Statement:: Given the following information about the patrons' win rate at the casino, determine the ensuing probabilities.
Relevant Equations:: Normal distribution on Calculator = Normalcdf

I started by trying to write a normal distribution function for losing and not sure if that is possible.
View attachment 291684

Part oif the question appears to be missing. What probabilities is it asking you to calculate?

"Losing" menas winning less than $0.
 
pasmith said:
Part oif the question appears to be missing. What probabilities is it asking you to calculate?

"Losing" menas winning less than $0.
Here is the rest of the problem, but not sure where the percentages of the winning came from to even think about the losing.
Screenshot 2021-11-03 130748.png
 
The amount won is distributed as stated in the question: N(-0.25, 0.3). This is expressed as a fraction of the amount staked, which is why the question says to convert the win/loss amounts to a decimal fraction.
 
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I understand that part, but for part 1, won't I need the losing distribution? If not do I get do 700/1000 - 2.5 divided by 30 and figure out the percent lower than that for the answer?
 
The probability of losing $x is the probability of winning -$x.
 
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That makes sense. So you part 1 I will find the probability of winning 700 and then my answer will be the opposite sign of what I get out?
 
I think it might help to just start by rephrasing the distribution. The patrons winnings are a normal distribution center at how many dollars, and with how many dollars standard deviation?
 
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