Recent content by Ursole

  1. U

    Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice

    No doubt it is provable, but I don't know of one. Thanks for the tip. .
  2. U

    Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice

    Can it be further improved? No, seems like we can't escape from having 4 false negatives and 1 false positive. The formatting below didn't come out well here. The totals are the sum of Prob. Let probability partner says n = PPSn Let probability of guessing right = PGR Let PGR * PPSn...
  3. U

    Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice

    However, it is possible to improve on 5/6!
  4. U

    Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice

    But your strategy should also include you and your partner agreeing always to call the higher [or lower] number. Then I make make the probability of being right equal to (5/6)(4/5) + (1/6)(6/6) = 5/6 Do you agree? .
  5. U

    Describing Philosophers A,B,C & D: Beliefs & Insights

    Sorry, AKG. I forgot the wording of the puzzle. :redface:
  6. U

    Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice

    If you always call 'not summing to 7, then you will be right every time a double is thrown. .
  7. U

    Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice

    I don't agree with your 9/11 perhaps you are forgetting about doubles.
  8. U

    Maximize Gains with Coin-Flip Strategy

    Let n = number of times the coin is flipped. I open a box and see 3^a dollars, where a > 1. I know n = a or a-1, and Prob(n = a) is half of Prob(n = a-1); Prob(n = a) = 1/3 Prob(n = a-1) = 2/3 By the way, an 'optimum' strategy of always switching violates symmetry. .
  9. U

    Describing Philosophers A,B,C & D: Beliefs & Insights

    Captain, this is not logical. [It is a personal opinion.] .
  10. U

    Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice

    If the partner has to say "I see at least one of n" where n is the value of one of the two dice that were cast and then you have to say "the sum equals 7" or "the sum does not equal 7", what strategy could you and your partner decide upon, before starting the game, that would optimize your...
  11. U

    Maximize Gains with Coin-Flip Strategy

    While it's true that the probability of picking the box with the larger amount is 1/2, the conditional probability that the other box contains more money given that the first box contained a dollars is 1 if a = 3 and 1/3 otherwise. So if you find a (a > 3) in the box and stick, you get a...
  12. U

    Describing Philosophers A,B,C & D: Beliefs & Insights

    You are given that: Pure philosophers always tell the truth concerning their beliefs. Applied philosophers always lie concerning their beliefs. Sane philosophers beliefs are always correct. Insane pilosophers beliefs are always incorrect. Four philosophers {A,B,C,D}) have the...
  13. U

    Calculating Probability of Rolling a 7 with Dice

    The probability of rolling a 7 with a pair of ordinary dice is 1/6 because, of the 36 possible (and equally likely) combinations, six of them sum to 7. Now, suppose the dice are rolled out of one's sight and some honest person who can see the result tells us that at least one of the dice came up...
  14. U

    Maximize Gains with Coin-Flip Strategy

    Assume I flip a fair coin n times until it comes up Heads. Now I take two large boxes, in one of which I place $3^n (3 to the power of n dollars) and in the other I place $3^(n+1) (3 to the power of n+1 dollars). I then give you the two closed seemingly identical boxes and allow you to open one...
  15. U

    Solving the Distance Travelled by an Accelerating Car

    I thought this was a forum.
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