Does the magnitude of covariance have any real meaning?

In summary: All we can say is that the covariance is a measure of how much the values in the sample change together.
  • #1
dhiraj
4
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The title of the question may not be clear. But that is the real difficulty I am facing. I am not able to understand logic behind coming up with this formula for covariance.

We know that the sample covariance formula is:-

\(\displaystyle cov(x,y)=\frac{\sum(x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{n-1}\)

I am not able to understand the logic behind the numerator. Why are we multiplying the terms. I mean, I know we need to find the change in x is appearing along with change in y (if they co-vary), so this formula will give direction of that change in terms of sign of the number that you get after substituting the values in the formula. And also we will be able to compare e.g. Having covariance of 50 for example is more of proof of x and y moving together than having it as 30. So their order will make sense. But if you just think of a single value of covariance without having to compare it with anything else, does it have any real intuitive meaning (just the number in itself)? For example in case of variance or standard deviation one can easily see that it is average number of 'deviation from the mean' per data point in the sample. But here in case of covariance, I am not able to come up with any such intuitive understanding.
 
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  • #2
dhiraj said:
The title of the question may not be clear. But that is the real difficulty I am facing. I am not able to understand logic behind coming up with this formula for covariance.

We know that the sample covariance formula is:-

\(\displaystyle cov(x,y)=\frac{\sum(x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{n-1}\)

I am not able to understand the logic behind the numerator. Why are we multiplying the terms. I mean, I know we need to find the change in x is appearing along with change in y (if they co-vary), so this formula will give direction of that change in terms of sign of the number that you get after substituting the values in the formula. And also we will be able to compare e.g. Having covariance of 50 for example is more of proof of x and y moving together than having it as 30. So their order will make sense. But if you just think of a single value of covariance without having to compare it with anything else, does it have any real intuitive meaning (just the number in itself)? For example in case of variance or standard deviation one can easily see that it is average number of 'deviation from the mean' per data point in the sample. But here in case of covariance, I am not able to come up with any such intuitive understanding.

Hi dhiraj! Welcome to MHB! (Smile)

It seems you already know.

If both values in the numerator are positive they provide a positive product.
And if both values are negative they also provide a positive product.
So if the values co-vary in a positive sense, we'll get a strong positive value, as we should.

A single value does indeed not make much sense.
We cannot derive a covariance, and neither for that matter, can we derive a standard deviation (for the same reason).
 

What is covariance and how is it calculated?

Covariance is a measure that describes how two random variables change together. It is calculated by multiplying the difference between each pair of values for the two variables and then taking the average of those products.

What does a positive or negative covariance value indicate?

A positive covariance value indicates a direct relationship between the variables, meaning they tend to increase or decrease together. A negative covariance value indicates an inverse relationship, where one variable tends to increase while the other decreases.

Does the magnitude of covariance have any real meaning?

Yes, the magnitude of covariance represents the strength of the relationship between two variables. A larger magnitude indicates a stronger relationship, while a smaller magnitude indicates a weaker relationship.

Can covariance be used to determine causation?

No, covariance only measures the strength of a relationship between two variables and does not indicate causation. Other factors and variables need to be considered in order to determine causation.

What other statistical measures should be used in conjunction with covariance?

Covariance should be used in conjunction with other statistical measures, such as correlation coefficient, to fully understand the relationship between two variables. Additionally, other factors and variables should also be considered to avoid making incorrect conclusions.

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