Find the probability all 5 dice rolls are the same

In summary: Yes, you are correct. I did not see that you were counting "AABB" as different from "ABBA". That is correct and does make it 1800.
  • #1
marcadams267
21
1
Given 5 dice rolls that are independent from each other, what is the probability for the following results? (order of roll does not matter)

1. all 5 dice rolls are the same

2. 4 dice rolls are the same

3. the dice rolls are in sequence (1-5 or 2-6) -order does not matter

4. two pairs of dice are the same (ex: 1 1 4 4 3)

5. the result is one pair and the other three are the same (ex: 1 1 1 6 6)So far, my understanding of the problem has been the ff:
1. 1/6^5
2. 150/6^5
3.(5!+5!)/6^5
4. 1800/6^5
5. 300/6^5

Is this correct?
 
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  • #2
marcadams267 said:
Given 5 dice rolls that are independent from each other, what is the probability for the following results? (order of roll does not matter)

1. all 5 dice rolls are the same

2. 4 dice rolls are the same

3. the dice rolls are in sequence (1-5 or 2-6) -order does not matter

4. two pairs of dice are the same (ex: 1 1 4 4 3)

5. the result is one pair and the other three are the same (ex: 1 1 1 6 6)So far, my understanding of the problem has been the ff:
1. 1/6^5
No, this is the probability all 5 are the same specific number. That is, that all 5 are 1 or all 5 are 2, etc. Since there are 6 possible numbers the probability all 5 die are the same number is 5/6^5.

2. 150/6^5[//quote]
The probability the first 4 die are, say, "1" and the other die any other number is (1/6^5)(5/6)= 5/6^5. Since there are 5 "positions" in which the "1" might appear the probability of 4 "1"s and one other number is 25/6^5. But, again, there are 6 number the 4 die might be so the probability of 4 dice being the same number and one die being different is 5(25/6^5)= 125/6^5. How did you get 150?

3.(5!+5!)/6^5
The probability the five die are "1, 2, 3, 4, 5" in that order is 1/6^5. There are 5! different orders so the probability of "1, 2, 3, 4, 5" in any order is 5/6^5. Of course, it is exactly the same for "2, 3, 4, 5. 6" so you are correct.

4. 1800/6^5
The first die could be any thing. The probability that the next die is the same, so that the first two die are the same, is 1/6. The probability the third die is different from the first two is 5/6. The probability the fourth is the same as the third is 1/6. The probability the last is different from either of those is 4/6= 2/3. The probability of "AABBC" is (1/6)(5/6)(1/6)(4/6)= 4/6^4. But there are (2!2!)/5! different orders so this probability is (4(2!2!))/(6^4(5!)). That is 1/(480(6^4)) How did you get 1800?

5. 300/6^5
The first die can be anything. The probability the next two dice are the same is 1/6^2. The probability the fourth die is anything other than that is 5/6. The probability the fifth die is the same as the fourth is 1/6. The probability of "AAABB" is (1/6^2)(5/6)(1/6)= 5/6^4. There are 5!/(3!2!)= 10 ways to order "AAABB" so the probability of three the same and two the same but different from the others is 50/6^4. Since 300/6= 50, that is the same as your answer.
Is this correct?
 
  • #3
For #2, I got 150 from the ff:

number of choices for the number showing on the dice = 6
number of ways of choosing which 4 dice the four of a kind will appear on = 5C4 = 5!/(1!4!) = 5
number of choices for the last number on the last dice = 6-1 = 5
number of ways to choose the last dice = 1C1 = 1

So the number of correct outcomes is 6*5*5*1 = 150

For #4, I got 1800 from the ff:

Number of choices for the number on first pair = 6
number of ways which two dice have the number =5C2 = 10
number of choices for number on second pair = 5
number of ways which two dice have the number = 3C2 = 3
number of choices for number on last dice = 4
number of ways of choosing last dice = 1C1 = 1
correct outcomes = 6*10*5*3*4*1 = 3600

However, this counts each pair twice (66554 is treated separate than 55664)
so i divide 3600 by 2 = 1800
 

1. What is the probability that all 5 dice rolls will be the same?

The probability of all 5 dice rolls being the same is 1/6, or approximately 16.67%. This is because there are 6 possible outcomes for each dice roll, and the probability of getting the same number on all 5 rolls is (1/6)^5.

2. How does the probability change if we roll more than 5 dice?

The probability of all dice rolls being the same decreases as we roll more dice. For example, if we roll 6 dice, the probability decreases to 1/36, or approximately 2.78%. This is because there are more possible outcomes and it becomes less likely for all dice to land on the same number.

3. Can the probability of all 5 dice rolls being the same be greater than 1?

No, the probability cannot be greater than 1. The highest possible probability is 1, which represents a 100% chance of an event occurring. In this case, the probability of all 5 dice rolls being the same is less than 1, as it is not guaranteed to happen.

4. How does the probability change if we use different types of dice?

The probability of all dice rolls being the same can vary depending on the number of sides on the dice. For example, if we use a 10-sided dice, the probability increases to 1/10, or 10%. This is because there are more possible outcomes and it becomes more likely for all dice to land on the same number.

5. Is it possible to calculate the probability if we have a biased dice?

No, it is not possible to accurately calculate the probability if we have a biased dice. The probability of all 5 dice rolls being the same would depend on the specific bias of the dice, which cannot be determined without knowing the exact probabilities of each outcome. Therefore, the probability would be different for each biased dice and cannot be accurately calculated.

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