I Using a probability argument I got the sum. Can it be done directly?

AI Thread Summary
The discussion revolves around the summation formula related to the probability distribution of the minimum label when selecting marbles from a set. The original post contained an error, which was corrected to clarify that m can be any value up to n. An attempt to prove the formula through induction was made, but it was suggested that direct calculation might be more effective. The participants explored the implications of the formula and its simplifications, ultimately concluding that while induction could be challenging, a direct approach might yield results, albeit with some tedious calculations. The conversation highlights the complexities of the mathematical proof and the exploration of different methods to arrive at the solution.
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Using a probability argument I got the sum. Can it be done directly?
##\sum\limits_{k=0}^{n-m} \frac{\binom{n-m}{k}}{\binom{n}{k}}\frac{m}{n-k}=1##. Can be derived from question. For ##n\ge m##, pick ##m## marbled out of a set size ##n## labeled from ##1## to ##n##, what is probability distribution of minimum of the number labels on the marbles? The terms is the summation are probabilities that minimum label ##=k+1##.
 
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May we assume ##2m\geq n##?
 
fresh_42 said:
May we assume ##2m\geq n##?
Error in original post - has been corrected. m can be anything up to n.
 
We can set ##N:=n-m## and rephrase the statement as
$$
\sum_{k=0}^N\prod_{j=1}^k\dfrac{N-j+1}{n-j}=\dfrac{n}{n-N}
$$
and attempt an induction on ##N##. It is true for ##N=0,1,2.##
I think that such an induction is the best way to prove it.
 
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The sum should = 1, why n/m? Also the denominator in the product should be n-j+1.
 
mathman said:
The sum should = 1, why n/m? Also the denominator in the product should be n-j+1.
No, I distributed ##\dfrac{m}{n}## out of the sum and put it on the other side. My formula is correct (I think). I only skipped a few elementary calculation steps.

Edit: By checking the calculation for ##N=2## I saw that multiplying with the common denominator is probably better than an induction. The induction brought a weighted sum such that the induction hypothesis couldn't be applied.
 
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At the opposite end, m=n or m=n-1 can be checked directly. Math induction probably won't work. There might be a tricky way to do the sum, but I have no ideas.
 
There is still a little work to do, but I broke it down to an inductionable statement:
$$
\sum_{k=0}^N\prod_{j=1}^k\dfrac{N-j+1}{n-j}=\dfrac{n}{n-N}
$$
\begin{align*}
\dfrac{n}{n-N}&= 1+\dfrac{N}{n-1}+\dfrac{N(N-1)}{(n-1)(n-2)}+\ldots+\dfrac{N}{n-1}\cdots \dfrac{1}{n-N}\\
\dfrac{n!}{n-N}&=(n-1)!+N(n-2)!+N(N-1)(n-3)!+\ldots +N!\\
n!&=(n-1)!(n-N)+N(n-N)(n-2)!+\ldots +N!(n-N)
\end{align*}
Now it is in a form where we can perform an induction.
\begin{align*}
N=0\, &: \,(n-1)!(n-0)=n!\\
N=1\, &: \,(n-1)!(n-1)+(n-1)(n-2)!=(n-1)!(n-1+1)=n!\\
N=2\, &: \,(n-1)!(n-2)+2(n-2)(n-2)!+2(n-2)(n-3)!\\
\phantom{N=2\, }&\phantom{\,=}=(n-2)!((n-1)(n-2)+2(n-2)+2)\\
\phantom{N=2\, }&\phantom{\,=}=(n-2)!(n^2-3n+2+2n-4+2)=(n-2)!(n^2-n)=n!
\end{align*}
 
I see it as a direct calculation. I don't see the induction?
 
  • #10
mathman said:
I see it as a direct calculation. I don't see the induction?
I haven't checked. Maybe it can be done directly.
 
  • #11
As far as I can tell, for each N (or m) it could be done directly. This is tedious.
 
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