Recent content by cgrady

  1. C

    Calculating 40% Chance of More Hits: Moneyball Question

    .3461 is the number I got too, when I used 55 at bats and plugged the numbers into a summation, which makes me feel happy:smile:that i kinda know how to do it now. I also tried 45 at bats, because I think the average at bats per game is close to 3, and the probability was 35%, so I'm guessing...
  2. C

    Calculating 40% Chance of More Hits: Moneyball Question

    Ah, thank you, I understand now. It would probability 275 hitter has 1 hit *probability 300 hitter has 0. Etc
  3. C

    Calculating 40% Chance of More Hits: Moneyball Question

    so basically it would be something like the probability 275 hitter gets 1 or more hits * the probability 300 hitter get less 1 hit. Plus probability 275 hitter gets 2 or more hits * probability 300 hitter gets less than 2 hits. Etc.
  4. C

    Calculating 40% Chance of More Hits: Moneyball Question

    Hi, I'm reading moneyball a book about stats and baseball. In the book it says when you consider two batters one with a .275 batting average and one with .300 batting average and you watch them over 15 games there is a 40% chance the .275 batter will get more hits. Could someone explain to me...
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