Recent content by cosmiccase

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    Probability distribution of horses

    Enuma Elish ----------- I 'm not sure the formula is right. If it's three random variables are you sure that: f1.(1-erf2).(1-erf3)+ f2.(1-erf1).(1-erf3)+ f3.(1-erf1).(1-erf2) integrates to 1 ? But see this: http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/apr/section1/apr181.htm
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    Probability distribution of horses

    I 'm following your reasoning. "A" can cross the finish line at any time 0 to infinity. Practically, with a mean of 57.00 secs it can be 55.00 seconds (a record performence) to infinite (goes lame - stops !). In our ideal model where lameness-jockey accidents do not exist, for all intends and...
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    Probability distribution of horses

    PROB(A) = \int dt . fa(t) \prod(1-erf(\mu,\sigma,t)) That does n't look great but I think this is it. The integral is from 0 to infinity. fa is the Gaussian of "horse A". erf are the cdfs of the Gaussians of B-C-D-E-F. Simlilarly for the others. It's a hell of an integral though. How...
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    Probability distribution of horses

    integrals EnumaElish imports some good looking math symbols. Can one get those from the font menu ? Anyway is it P(A) = integral from 0 to infinity of {erf(t,Mb,Sb) x erf(t,Mc,Sc) ... x erf(t,Mf,Sf)} ?
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    Probability distribution of horses

    Can you write this down as a product of integrals ? Is there a functional approximation when the means are Mi and the stds Si ?
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    Probability distribution of horses

    What is the distribution of t(min/A) then ? Simulation gives the following results for the numbers in my example: horse 1: 0.47 horse 2: 0.29 horse 3: 0.19 horse 4: 0.04 horse 5: 0.01 horse 6: 0.00 (plus-minus 0.01)
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    Probability distribution of horses

    A horse race is going to take place with six runners. The race is over 5 furlongs (1000 meters) and for each of the six contestants it is known that their probable times at this distance are: horse 1: 57.00 sec horse 2: 57.20 sec horse 3: 57.35 sec horse 4: 57.80 sec horse 5: 58.10 sec...
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    Simple Mechanics Problem Holds Politicians In Disarray ?

    Hello This is a question from the recent national exams in Physics in Greece: Two equal sized coins (1 euro) are placed on one edge of a frictionless flat table. Coin "A" has a continuous force F applied at it's centre and pointing to the opposite edge of the table. Coin "A", as a result...
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